Bruins vs. WildFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalGrand Casino Arena

Bruins

1–4Final

Wild

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	T
BOS	1	0	0	1
MIN	0	2	2	4

Top model pick, graded

Won

Kirill Kaprizov under 3.5 shots on goal −120

Why NHL Player Prop Edge likes it: 7.414 individual shots/60 over 22.15 minutes gives a 2.74-shot season baseline.

Models went 2-0 on this game · +94% return

Kirill Kaprizov under 3.5 shots on goal
+83%Won
Taken at −120 on FanDuel
NHL Player Prop EdgeUp 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 7.414 individual shots/60 over 22.15 minutes gives a 2.74-shot season baseline.
- Role lookup has Kaprizov in Minnesota's top nine and on PP1, supporting stable deployment rather than a recent-hit-rate angle.
- Adjusting the baseline for Boston's pace produces an estimate near 2.9 shots, below the 3.5 line.
- The current line combination is projected, not confirmed, and the new-season sample is thin.
Matt Boldy over 3.5 shots on goal
+105%Won
Taken at +105 on DraftKings
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 4.0 shots per game over his last 10, 14.3% above the 3.5 line.
- Boston is allowing 28.5 shots per game in the early-season sample.
- DraftKings +105 is the best quoted price found; FanDuel was +100.
- The last-10 sample includes only one 2026-27 game and prior-season results, so form is noisy.

The Wild won 4–1 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.