Avalanche vs. JetsFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalCanada Life Centre

Avalanche

2–3Final

Jets

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	1	2
WPG	0	2	1	3

Top model pick, graded

Won

Winnipeg Jets moneyline including overtime 36¢

Regulation GapDown 19% this season · 53 picks

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How the picks did

Models went 2-5 on this game · −36% return

Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets game total over 6
−100%Lost
Taken at 57¢ on ProphetX
Backup BurstUp 91% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 6.6 goals, 0.6 above ProphetX's 6.0 line.
- Colorado averaged 33.13 shots on goal over 15 regular-season games; 11 of 15 cleared 30 (.733).
- Mackenzie Blackwood's 2025-26 save rate was .9035, not a rested elite-starter profile.
- Blackwood is listed as likely rather than officially confirmed; a goalie change weakens the gate.
Winnipeg Jets moneyline including overtime
+178%Won
Taken at 36¢ on ProphetX
Regulation GapUp 2% last 7 days
Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets over 2.5 first-period goalsLong shot
−100%Lost
Taken at 28¢ on Polymarket US
First Frame SumDown 35% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 2.08 projected first-period goals: COL 1.33 expected from 2.00 GF and WPG .67 GA; WPG .75 from 1.00 GF and COL .50 GA.
- Confirmed starters are Mackenzie Blackwood and Stuart Skinner; current save rates are .912 and .908.
- The team first-period estimate uses only five early-season team-games and can regress sharply.
2-leg parlayLong shot
−100%Lost
Taken at +19800
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Lehkonen has 4 points (3 goals, 1 assist) in 2 games versus a 0.5-point line.
- Connor has 20 shots in 3 games, or 6.67 per game, against a 3.0-shot line.
- Both props are priced at -137 on the live PrizePicks board; the legs use different teams.
- Lehkonen's form is a two-game sample and Connor's is only three games.
Winnipeg Jets first-period spread +0.5
+69%Won
Taken at 59¢ on Polymarket US
Square FrameUp 3% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 0.5 at 42¢ plus Jets -0.5 at 30¢ implies a 28% first-period tie rate.
- That is 6.1 points below the 34.1% baseline, clearing the brief’s rung threshold.
- Jets +0.5 is the cheaper win-or-tie side at 59¢ versus Avalanche +0.5 at 71¢.
- A Colorado lead after 20 minutes defeats the position; one-goal first periods remain high variance.
Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets over 6.5 total goals
−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Empty Net OverDown 25% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 70% last-season / 30% early-season blend gives a 6.46-goal base.
- Empty-net adjustment of +0.35 makes the projection 6.81, 0.31 above 6.5.
- Colorado is a -192 moneyline favourite; Pinnacle's Colorado -1.5 at +131 supports a modest-margin script (SHARP REFERENCE).
- Only five current team games: Colorado's 8-4 and 6-1 wins inflate the early scoring sample.

Show all 7 picks

Colorado Avalanche −1.5
−100%Lost
Taken at 42¢ on ProphetX
Gap FavoriteDown 100% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- regular-season trailing-25 goal-differential gap is 1.76 (COL +1.24/game; WPG -0.52), clearing 1.2.
- Shrunk toward last-season differentials (+1.1 versus -0.4), the gap remains 1.5.
- ProphetX offers Colorado -1.5 at +136 (42.37¢), above the desk’s +134 fair threshold (42.7%).
- Only two price points above the +134 cutoff; variance dominates this thin edge.

Questions

Who won Avalanche vs. Jets?

The Jets won 3–2 on Wednesday, Oct 7, 2026.