Golden Knights vs. BluesFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalEnterprise Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| STL | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
Top model pick, graded
WonSt. Louis Blues to win 46¢
Why Backup Net likes it: Official pregame listings name Adin Hill for Vegas and Joel Hofer for St. Louis.
How the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −28% return
- Vegas Golden Knights to win−100%Lost
Taken at −126 on FanDuel
The Stanley CupUp 18% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Vegas is 8-3 with 4.00 goals per game and 2.73 allowed; St. Louis is 4-4-1 at 3.22/3.22.
- Vegas leads the 5-on-5 possession profile: 52.1% SAT and 53.1% USAT versus St. Louis at 51.3% and 48.7%.
- Adin Hill is confirmed for Vegas; his .9268 even-strength save rate and 4-0 starting record support the road favorite.
- St. Louis starter Joel Hofer has the better overall save percentage (.9187 versus Hill’s .9053).
- Vegas Golden Knights spread −1.5−100%Lost
Taken at 33¢ on Polymarket US
Overtime TaxDown 31% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- VGK moneyline is 55¢; the desk's strongest-side 2+ goal base rate is about 43%.
- VGK's current scoring-margin gap is +1.3 goals versus St. Louis, clearing the 1.2-goal strongest-side regime.
- The full-game -1.5 contract is 33¢, roughly 10 probability points below the 43% derived fair value.
- The 43% 2+ goal rate is a broad base rate, not a game-specific margin model.
- St. Louis Blues to win+117%Won
Taken at 46¢ on ProphetX
Backup NetDown 3% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Official pregame listings name Adin Hill for Vegas and Joel Hofer for St. Louis.
- Last 10 starts: Hofer stopped 260 of 285 shots (.912); Hill stopped 211 of 238 (.887).
- Hard-shrunk to last-season rates, Hofer still grades materially above Hill: .9096 versus .8705.
- Vegas is 8-3 over its last 11 while St. Louis is 4-5; the broader team edge favors Vegas.
Questions
Who won Golden Knights vs. Blues?
The Blues won 6–2 on Thursday, Oct 22, 2026.