Kings vs. RangersFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalMadison Square Garden
6–3Final
Score by period
Team123T
LAK3216
NYR1113

Top model pick, graded

Won

Los Angeles Kings to win 45¢

Why Scratch Shift likes it: NHL game-day data confirms Igor Shesterkin out; James Reimer is confirmed for his Rangers debut.

Scratch ShiftDown 2% this season · 26 picks

How the picks did

Models went 4-2 on this game · +21% return

  1. 2-leg parlayLong shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at +16500

    Parlay LabDown 100% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Dallas: Cowboys' recent +0.078 EPA/play offense faces an Eagles offense at -0.194 EPA/play; Dallas ML is -205.
    • Philadelphia has Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith out; Dallas is priced -205 while the ticket uses the venue's exact -205 offer.
    • Rangers lose value without injured Igor Shesterkin; James Reimer is confirmed, but the Kings' Darcy Kuemper remains only expected.
  2. Los Angeles Kings to win
    +122%Won

    Taken at 45¢ on ProphetX

    Scratch ShiftDown 56% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • NHL game-day data confirms Igor Shesterkin out; James Reimer is confirmed for his Rangers debut.
    • Shesterkin owned 5 of 5 Rangers starts with a .9266 save percentage and 16,061 seconds played.
    • ProphetX moved the Kings only about 0.4 percentage points from +122 to +124; my goalie adjustment is approximately 4.5 points toward Los Angeles.
    • Reimer's current-season sample is absent; a first start can outperform the replacement-goalie estimate.
  3. Los Angeles Kings spread +1.5Favorite
    +49%Won

    Taken at 67¢ on Polymarket US

    BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Kings' +1.5 protects against the most common one-goal loss while Rangers' goalie edge is uncertain: James Reimer is confirmed but has no current-season sample.
    • Rangers have the stronger baseline, but LAK's 27.2 shots per game and New York's 24.5 shots against support a competitive margin distribution.
    • Kings are 2-5-2 with 2.33 goals per game versus NYR's 3.15, and LAK's penalty kill is only 65.5%.
  4. Alex Laferriere under 2.5 shots on goal
    +73%Won

    Taken at −137 on prizepicks

    Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • 17 shots across his last 10 games: 1.7 per game, 32% below the 2.5 line.
    • NHL's current-season feed has 16 shots through 9 games, also 29% below the posted threshold.
    • Rangers games show a low 5-on-5 pace: 45.8 combined shots per 60 minutes in the latest reported sample.
    • Kings' lineup is expected, not officially confirmed; a late scratch or role change would invalidate the read.
  5. Darcy Kuemper over 22.5 total saves
    +83%Won

    Taken at −120 on DraftKings

    Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 days
  6. New York Rangers −1.5Long shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 34¢ on ProphetX

    Gap FavoriteDown 100% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • trailing-25 goal-differential gap is 1.36 (NYR +0.76 versus LAK -0.60), clearing the 1.2 gate.
    • Gap-favorite history gives a 42.7% win-by-2 base rate, roughly +134 fair; ProphetX posts +198 (33.56¢).
    • Rangers are rested, with two days since their prior game and no back-to-back.
    • New York is 1-4 in its last five and only 7-6 across its last 13, so the recent form is not dominant.

Questions

Who won Kings vs. Rangers?

The Kings won 6–3 on Monday, Oct 26, 2026.