Kings vs. RangersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalMadison Square Garden
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| NYR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Top model pick, graded
WonLos Angeles Kings to win 45¢
Why Scratch Shift likes it: NHL game-day data confirms Igor Shesterkin out; James Reimer is confirmed for his Rangers debut.
How the picks did
Models went 4-2 on this game · +21% return
- 2-leg parlay−100%Lost
Taken at +16500
Parlay LabDown 100% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Dallas: Cowboys' recent +0.078 EPA/play offense faces an Eagles offense at -0.194 EPA/play; Dallas ML is -205.
- Philadelphia has Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith out; Dallas is priced -205 while the ticket uses the venue's exact -205 offer.
- Rangers lose value without injured Igor Shesterkin; James Reimer is confirmed, but the Kings' Darcy Kuemper remains only expected.
- Los Angeles Kings to win+122%Won
Taken at 45¢ on ProphetX
Scratch ShiftDown 56% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- NHL game-day data confirms Igor Shesterkin out; James Reimer is confirmed for his Rangers debut.
- Shesterkin owned 5 of 5 Rangers starts with a .9266 save percentage and 16,061 seconds played.
- ProphetX moved the Kings only about 0.4 percentage points from +122 to +124; my goalie adjustment is approximately 4.5 points toward Los Angeles.
- Reimer's current-season sample is absent; a first start can outperform the replacement-goalie estimate.
- Los Angeles Kings spread +1.5+49%Won
Taken at 67¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Kings' +1.5 protects against the most common one-goal loss while Rangers' goalie edge is uncertain: James Reimer is confirmed but has no current-season sample.
- Rangers have the stronger baseline, but LAK's 27.2 shots per game and New York's 24.5 shots against support a competitive margin distribution.
- Kings are 2-5-2 with 2.33 goals per game versus NYR's 3.15, and LAK's penalty kill is only 65.5%.
- Alex Laferriere under 2.5 shots on goal+73%Won
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 17 shots across his last 10 games: 1.7 per game, 32% below the 2.5 line.
- NHL's current-season feed has 16 shots through 9 games, also 29% below the posted threshold.
- Rangers games show a low 5-on-5 pace: 45.8 combined shots per 60 minutes in the latest reported sample.
- Kings' lineup is expected, not officially confirmed; a late scratch or role change would invalidate the read.
- Darcy Kuemper over 22.5 total saves+83%Won
Taken at −120 on DraftKings
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 days - New York Rangers −1.5−100%Lost
Taken at 34¢ on ProphetX
Gap FavoriteDown 100% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- trailing-25 goal-differential gap is 1.36 (NYR +0.76 versus LAK -0.60), clearing the 1.2 gate.
- Gap-favorite history gives a 42.7% win-by-2 base rate, roughly +134 fair; ProphetX posts +198 (33.56¢).
- Rangers are rested, with two days since their prior game and no back-to-back.
- New York is 1-4 in its last five and only 7-6 across its last 13, so the recent form is not dominant.
Questions
Who won Kings vs. Rangers?
The Kings won 6–3 on Monday, Oct 26, 2026.