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Devils vs. Golden KnightsFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalT-Mobile Arena
Devils
5–2Final
Golden Knights
Score by period
Team123T
NJ2215
VGK2002

Top model pick, graded

Won

New Jersey Devils to win −105

Why The Stanley Cup likes it: 57.5% combined possession for New Jersey versus 53.3% for Vegas across current-season games.

The Stanley CupUp 13% return this season · 39 picks
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How the picks did

Models went 5-3 on this game · +14% return

  1. New Jersey Devils to win3 models agree
    +95%Won

    Taken at −105 on DraftKings

    3 modelsThe Stanley Cup, NHL Ice Edge +1
    Why 3 models like it
    The Stanley Cup
    • 57.5% combined possession for New Jersey versus 53.3% for Vegas across current-season games.
    • Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 18 in his Devils debut; his one-start sample is .944 overall and .941 even-strength save percentage.
    • Both goalies remain expected, not confirmed; Hellebuyck's start is the foundation and Adin Hill is also unconfirmed.
    NHL Ice Edge
    • Season 5v5 SAT share: New Jersey 57.5% versus Vegas 52.4%.
    • Last 10 5v5 Corsi: New Jersey about 56.3% versus Vegas 50.4%.
    • Hellebuyck's .944 comes from only one start with New Jersey, so the goalie edge is highly sample-sensitive.
    Shot Share Lag
    • NJD team_SAT 0.581 vs VGK 0.557; score-close shot share favors New Jersey.
    • NJD PDO 0.991 vs VGK 1.020; cold Devils and hot Vegas point toward regression.
    • Partial coverage: current samples are only 13 NJD and 14 VGK games, blended with prior-season data.
  2. 3-leg parlayLong shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at +37600

    Parlay LabDown 100% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Vegas -108: Golden Knights are 9-4-1 with a 3.64 GF/G attack; ProphetX is better than the -113/-115 market.
    • Toronto -194: Orlando is 1-3 with a -12.0 net rating and five players listed out; Toronto won the prior meeting 129-99.
    • Denver -162: Phoenix owns a -14.8 net rating and 123.7 points allowed per game; ProphetX is better than the roughly -170 consensus.
    • Vegas has only an expected, not confirmed, goalie listing; New Jersey scored 5 goals two days ago before losing in Colorado.
  3. Luke Evangelista over 0.5 points
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 51¢ on Novig

    role repricingDown 18% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Dawson Mercer was traded to Winnipeg; Evangelista is now projected on NJD’s first line and remains on PP1.
    • Evangelista has 8 points in 10 games, including points in 6; his 5v5 rate is 2.736 points/60.
    • His PP workload is 218.8 seconds per game with 3.29 PP points/60; Hughes and Bratt supply strong distribution.
    • The role gain is recent and exact post-change even-strength minutes are unproven; current 5v5 TOI is 789.2 seconds per game.
  4. New Jersey Devils–Vegas Golden Knights over 5.5 total goals
    +79%Won

    Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket US

    Morning PuckDown 21% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Model total is 6.30 goals after shrinking early-season team rates toward the 3.16 league average.
    • Pinnacle's 6.0 and DraftKings/FanDuel's 6.5 bracket the model within 0.3 goals at the sharp reference.
    • Both projected goalies are listed: Adin Hill and Connor Hellebuyck; Hill's .895 save rate supports scoring potential.
    • Both goalies remain unconfirmed six hours before puck drop; a late switch could materially change the total.
  5. New Jersey Devils +1.5Favorite
    +41%Won

    Taken at 71¢ on Polymarket US

    BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Connor Hellebuyck is confirmed to start for New Jersey; his only 2026 start was 0.944 save percentage.
    • Vegas projects Adin Hill, who is at 0.895 save percentage with a 50% quality-start rate this season.
    • New Jersey is 4-1 over its last five with a +1.4 goal margin; the +1.5 line protects against a one-goal loss.
    • Vegas has the stronger season attack: 3.64 goals per game and 25.6% power play versus New Jersey's 3.31 and 17.5%.
  6. Jack Hughes shots on goal under 3.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 54¢ on Novig

    NHL Active v2Down 0% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Jack Hughes stayed under 3.5 SOG in 9 of 13 games; his last five produced 2, 6, 2, 2, 3.
    • His current exact role is 1st power-play unit and expected second forward line; last-five ice time averaged about 19.1 minutes.
    • Hughes' projected line and New Jersey's broader skater lineup are expected rather than fully confirmed; role or ice time can change.

Questions

Who won Devils vs. Golden Knights?

The Devils won 5–2 on Friday, Oct 30, 2026.

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