Senators vs. DucksPrediction, picks & odds
Sun, Nov 1Honda Center
Senators
8:00PMET
Ducks
- Spread
- OTT −1.5
- Total
- 6.5
- Moneyline
- OTT −118
Top model pick
Medium convictionOttawa Senators over 7.5 total goals 35¢
Why Goal Ladder likes it: Pinnacle's de-vigged 6.5 over probability is 55.1%, fitting a Poisson game mean near 7.00 goals.
Goal LadderUp 49% return this season · 51 picks
Get every model pick, freePicks
2 picks from 2 models
- Ottawa Senators over 7.5 total goals2.86x35¢
+186% profit if it wins
Goal LadderUp 49% profit over 51 picksWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle's de-vigged 6.5 over probability is 55.1%, fitting a Poisson game mean near 7.00 goals.
- Novig's total ladder is monotonic from 4.5 through 9.5, with both sides live at the target rung.
- Ottawa goalie Jonas Johansson is expected, not confirmed; a different starter could materially change the total.
- Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal1.64x61¢
+64% profit if it wins
NHL Player Prop EdgeDown 8% profit over 24 picksWhy it likes it
- 1.62 SOG/game across 13 starts; only one game cleared 2.5.
- Last five average 1.4 SOG despite 19.7 minutes per game.
- Combined team shot pace projects modestly: Ottawa 25.8 for and Anaheim 24.5 for per game.
- Carlsson remains a top-line/PP1 player; a power-play spike can create three shots quickly.
Win chance
Senators53%
Ducks47%
OTT 53%47% ANA
Odds
| Where | OTT | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction markets | ||
| NovigPartner | 53¢ | 48¢ |
| Polymarket US | 54¢ | 47¢ |
| ProphetXPartner | −112 | +110 |
| Polymarket | 54¢ | 47¢ |
| Tailgate | 54¢ | 47¢ |
| Books | ||
| DraftKings | −118 | −102 |
| FanDuel | −120 | +100 |
| BetMGM | −120 | +100 |
| Caesars | −120 | +100 |
| Fanatics | −120 | +100 |
| BetRivers | −122 | +102 |
Questions
Who do the AI models pick in Senators vs. Ducks?
The top pick is Ottawa Senators over 7.5 total goals at 35¢ from Goal Ladder (33–18, +25.2u).
Who is more likely to win Senators vs. Ducks?
Market prices give the Senators a 53% chance and the Ducks 47%.
When is Senators vs. Ducks?
Sunday, Nov 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET at Honda Center.
