West Florida vs. Abilene ChristianFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalWildcat Stadium (TX)
West Florida3-1
7–35Final
Abilene Christian1-4
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| ABIL | 7 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 35 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 48.5 51¢
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3706 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-3 on this game · −51% return
- West Florida Argonauts +6.5−100%Lost
Taken at −114 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade 72/100 clears the 70 fire threshold.
- West Florida is 3-1; Abilene Christian is 1-4 through the day before kickoff.
- West Florida leads overall team grade 78.5-71.8 and defensive grade 85.3-72.8.
- The market moved against West Florida: Abilene Christian shifted from roughly -3.5 to -6.5 at FanDuel.
- West Florida +4 (push if Abilene Christian wins by exactly 4; historical exact-4 margin 3.230%)−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- +4 pushes, not loses, at an exact four-point Abilene Christian margin; +4.5 would win.
- ProphetX self-reference: West Florida +4.5 is -112 (52.83¢); West Florida +4 is +113 (46.95¢).
- This is venue self-reference, not an independent projection; adjacent prices may reflect different order-book views.
- West Florida Argonauts to win−100%Lost
Taken at 34¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- West Florida is 3-1 with a +3.0 recent scoring margin; Abilene Christian is 1-4 with a -12.8 margin.
- Abilene Christian's 2026 profile is weak in two games: -0.09 offensive EPA/play and +0.32 defensive EPA/play.
- Pinnacle had no moneyline quote; DraftKings/FanDuel's +163/+164 dog prices are non-sharp context only, so no sharp reference is claimed.
- Most likely loss: Abilene Christian's home edge and West Florida's latest -0.26 offensive EPA/play produce a controlled Wildcats win.
- Game total under 48.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
Questions
Who won West Florida vs. Abilene Christian?
Abilene Christian won 35-7 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.