Lakers vs. WarriorsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalChase Center · San Francisco
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 31 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 98 |
| GSW | 45 | 36 | 15 | 28 | 124 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 224.5 points 57¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: 217.7 projected points, 6.8 below the 224.5 rung.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −42% return
- Game total under 220.5−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
Coaches CornerDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 217.5 combined points across the teams' latest preseason games: Lakers 127, Warriors 101.
- Lakers' last game reached 108.5 possessions, but Redick used a broad preseason rotation rather than extended starters.
- Seven Lakers are listed as not playing tonight, removing primary creation and a starting-caliber rim presence.
- The Lakers just produced 127 points, and a fast second unit could erase the modest cushion.
- Game total under 220.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Warriors likely dictate tempo; current pace is 111.6 versus Lakers 108.5, with both pace_l10 deltas at 0.0.
- Efficiency read: Lakers 117.0 ORtg versus Warriors 93.2 DRtg; Warriors 90.5 ORtg versus Lakers 94.9 DRtg.
- 110.05 possessions times 197.8 combined efficiency projects 217.6 points, 2.9 below the Kalshi 220.5 rung.
- Both teams have only one 2026 preseason game in the form sample; the pace and efficiency inputs are extremely thin.
- Game total under 224.5 points+75%Won
Taken at 57¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 217.7 projected points, 6.8 below the 224.5 rung.
- Tempo read: Golden State is the faster side (111.6 pace versus 108.5); its higher pace is the likely tempo influence, but both pace deltas are 0.0 after one game.
- Efficiency read: Lakers 117.0 ORTG versus Warriors 93.2 DRTG; Warriors 90.5 ORTG versus Lakers 94.9 DRTG.
- Both teams have only one 2026-27 preseason game in the form sample; pace and efficiency estimates are highly unstable.
Questions
Who won Lakers vs. Warriors?
The Warriors won 124–98 on Tuesday, Oct 6, 2026.