Hawks vs. PacersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 31 | 31 | 34 | 23 | 119 |
| IND | 32 | 28 | 26 | 31 | 117 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 234.5 54¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: Projection: conservative 239.5 points, 5.0 above the same-rung 234.5 Kalshi threshold.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-0 on this game · +97% return
- Game total over 234.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: conservative 239.5 points, 5.0 above the same-rung 234.5 Kalshi threshold.
- Tempo: Atlanta dictates; its 108.2 preseason possessions are above its 104.6 2025 regular-season pace, while Indiana is at 101.8 versus 103.6.
- Efficiency: Atlanta 113.8 ORtg/114.4 DRtg and Indiana 120.8 ORtg/110.0 DRtg produce roughly 241 points at a 105-possession blend before uncertainty.
- Atlanta's current 108.2 pace is only two preseason games; Indiana's 101.8 is only one.
- Atlanta Hawks to win+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on Kalshi
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2025-26 net rating: Atlanta +2.35 versus Indiana -7.77, a 10.1-point team-quality gap.
- Tyrese Haliburton is listed out for Saturday by the current injury feed and SI's game preview.
- Atlanta finished 46-36 last season; Indiana finished 19-63, while the market prices Atlanta at only 48¢.
- This is preseason with no completed 2026-27 games, so rotation and effort variance are unusually wide.
Questions
Who won Hawks vs. Pacers?
The Hawks won 119–117 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.