Warriors vs. LakersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalT-Mobile Arena · Las Vegas
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW | 29 | 21 | 22 | 29 | 101 |
| LAL | 29 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 89 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame under 229.5 total points 50¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: Lakers slightly dictate tempo: 108.8 preseason possessions versus Golden State's 107.5; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0, so there is no recent acceleration signal.
How the picks did
Models went 1-0 on this game · +100% return
- Game under 229.5 total points+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Lakers slightly dictate tempo: 108.8 preseason possessions versus Golden State's 107.5; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0, so there is no recent acceleration signal.
- Cross-efficiency read: Warriors 105.8 ORTG against Lakers 103.3 DRTG; Lakers 103.8 ORTG against Warriors 100.3 DRTG.
- Projected pace 108.2 times expected combined efficiency 206.6 per 100 possessions gives approximately 223.4 points versus the 229.5 Kalshi rung.
- Preseason samples are only 4 Warriors and 3 Lakers games; the 6.1-point projection gap may be model error.
Questions
Who won Warriors vs. Lakers?
The Warriors won 101–89 on Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026.