Warriors vs. LakersFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalT-Mobile Arena · Las Vegas
101–89Final
Score by period
Team1234T
GSW29212229101
LAL2934131389

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game under 229.5 total points 50¢

Why Shot Clock likes it: Lakers slightly dictate tempo: 108.8 preseason possessions versus Golden State's 107.5; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0, so there is no recent acceleration signal.

Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks

How the picks did

Models went 1-0 on this game · +100% return

  1. Game under 229.5 total points
    +100%Won

    Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi

    Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Lakers slightly dictate tempo: 108.8 preseason possessions versus Golden State's 107.5; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0, so there is no recent acceleration signal.
    • Cross-efficiency read: Warriors 105.8 ORTG against Lakers 103.3 DRTG; Lakers 103.8 ORTG against Warriors 100.3 DRTG.
    • Projected pace 108.2 times expected combined efficiency 206.6 per 100 possessions gives approximately 223.4 points versus the 229.5 Kalshi rung.
    • Preseason samples are only 4 Warriors and 3 Lakers games; the 6.1-point projection gap may be model error.

Questions

Who won Warriors vs. Lakers?

The Warriors won 101–89 on Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026.