Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalChase Center · San Francisco
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 26 | 32 | 33 | 27 | 118 |
| GSW | 35 | 32 | 38 | 23 | 128 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-1 on this game · −100% return
- Game total under 225.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: blended pace is 104.9 possessions; marginal tempo anchor is Golden State at 106.5 versus Portland at 103.3.
- Both pace_l10_delta values are 0.0, so there is no fresh pace surge; the read is a controlled, slightly Warriors-led tempo.
- Expected efficiency: Portland offense 113.8 versus Golden State defense 97.58, and Golden State offense 104.3 versus Portland defense 90.17; projected total ≈212.9.
- Both teams have tiny preseason samples: Golden State 5 games and Portland 3, making the 12.6-point projection gap suspect.
Questions
Who won Trail Blazers vs. Warriors?
The Warriors won 128–118 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.