Kings vs. SpursFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalFrost Bank Center · San Antonio
97–126Final
Score by period
Team1234T
SAC1819352597
SAS42293025126

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total under 230.5 points 52¢

Why Shot Clock likes it: Projection: expected total 221.5 versus the 230.5 Kalshi rung.

Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks

How the picks did

Models went 2-0 on this game · +56% return

  1. Game total under 230.5 points
    +92%Won

    Taken at 52¢ on Kalshi

    Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Projection: expected total 221.5 versus the 230.5 Kalshi rung.
    • Spurs slight tempo dictator: recent two-game pace averaged 109.0 versus Kings 104.3; full four-game paces are 105.7 and 107.5.
    • Current four-game efficiency: Spurs 105.5 offensive / 105.7 defensive rating; Kings 96.95 offensive / 107.3 defensive.
    • Sabonis is still a game-time decision, and Achiuwa is questionable; unresolved rotation news caps this below RECOMMENDED.
  2. San Antonio Spurs to winFavorite
    +20%Won

    Taken at 83¢ on Polymarket US

    Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • 2025 Spurs went 62-21 with a +8.1 point differential; Sacramento went 22-60 at -10.0.
    • Fresh exchange prices cluster around 82, 84¢ for San Antonio, consistent with a substantial team-strength gap.
    • The 230.5 total and 13.5-point spread imply San Antonio is expected to control the game rather than win narrowly.
    • No confirmed starting lineups were published in the checked sources; preseason minutes and rest decisions can swing the matchup.

Questions

Who won Kings vs. Spurs?

The Spurs won 126–97 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.