Jazz vs. SunsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Phoenix
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 31 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 119 |
| PHX | 30 | 35 | 30 | 21 | 116 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 235.5 points 58¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: Projection / PROJECTION: season pace is Utah 104.3 possessions and Phoenix 107.3; recent samples are Utah 105.8 and Phoenix 107.2.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · −14% return
- Game total under 235.5 points+72%Won
Taken at 58¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection / PROJECTION: season pace is Utah 104.3 possessions and Phoenix 107.3; recent samples are Utah 105.8 and Phoenix 107.2.
- Efficiency read: Utah 106.8 ORTG versus Phoenix 105.7 DRTG; Phoenix 100.0 ORTG versus Utah 103.3 DRTG.
- My pace-times-efficiency projection is approximately 225 total points versus the 235.5-point Kalshi rung.
- The game has already produced 61 first-quarter points, so sustained live pace can overwhelm the pregame efficiency baseline.
- Game total under 225.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- projected total ~220.0 versus the exact 225.5 Kalshi rung; raw Over YES was 0.495 fraction, not 49.5 cents mislabeled.
- Phoenix has the modest tempo lead: 107.3 preseason possessions, 106.5 over its last three; Utah is 104.3 season and 104.3 over its last three.
- Efficiency read: Utah 106.8 ORtg versus Phoenix 105.7 DRtg; Phoenix 100.0 ORtg versus Utah 103.3 DRtg, implying roughly 106.3 and 101.7 points per 100 possessions.
- Availability is not fully resolved: Suns starters were still TBD; Mark Williams and Luke Kennard were out, while Miles Bridges was day-to-day, and Utah had Jusuf Nurkic out plus Kyle Filipowski day-to-day.
Questions
Who won Jazz vs. Suns?
The Jazz won 119–116 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.