Wizards vs. PelicansFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalSmoothie King Center · New Orleans
106–107Final
Score by period
Team1234T
WAS17341936106
NOP23332526107

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total under 230.5 52¢

Why Shot Clock likes it: expected total 227.9 points versus the exact 230.5 Kalshi rung.

Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks

How the picks did

Models went 1-1 on this game · −4% return

  1. Game total under 210.5 points
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 43¢ on Kalshi

    Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Combined baseline pace is 105.6 possessions: Washington 106.7 versus New Orleans 104.5; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0.
    • Washington 108.7 ORtg faces New Orleans 106.8 DRtg; New Orleans 106.9 ORtg faces Washington 109.3 DRtg.
    • Only 45 points through 13:47; live scoring pace blended with baseline efficiency projects roughly 185, 195, below the 210.5 rung.
    • Preseason form and efficiency samples cover only three games, so the projection is noisy.
  2. Game total under 230.5
    +92%Won

    Taken at 52¢ on Kalshi

    Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • expected total 227.9 points versus the exact 230.5 Kalshi rung.
    • Combined pace is 105.6: Washington 106.7 and New Orleans 104.5; Washington is the faster side, likelier to pull tempo upward.
    • Efficiency blend: Washington offense 108.7 vs New Orleans defense 106.8; New Orleans offense 106.9 vs Washington defense 109.3.
    • Only three preseason games per team; pace and efficiency samples are extremely thin.

Questions

Who won Wizards vs. Pelicans?

The Pelicans won 107–106 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.