Wizards vs. PelicansFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalSmoothie King Center · New Orleans
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS | 17 | 34 | 19 | 36 | 106 |
| NOP | 23 | 33 | 25 | 26 | 107 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 230.5 52¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: expected total 227.9 points versus the exact 230.5 Kalshi rung.
How the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · −4% return
- Game total under 210.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 43¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Combined baseline pace is 105.6 possessions: Washington 106.7 versus New Orleans 104.5; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0.
- Washington 108.7 ORtg faces New Orleans 106.8 DRtg; New Orleans 106.9 ORtg faces Washington 109.3 DRtg.
- Only 45 points through 13:47; live scoring pace blended with baseline efficiency projects roughly 185, 195, below the 210.5 rung.
- Preseason form and efficiency samples cover only three games, so the projection is noisy.
- Game total under 230.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- expected total 227.9 points versus the exact 230.5 Kalshi rung.
- Combined pace is 105.6: Washington 106.7 and New Orleans 104.5; Washington is the faster side, likelier to pull tempo upward.
- Efficiency blend: Washington offense 108.7 vs New Orleans defense 106.8; New Orleans offense 106.9 vs Washington defense 109.3.
- Only three preseason games per team; pace and efficiency samples are extremely thin.
Questions
Who won Wizards vs. Pelicans?
The Pelicans won 107–106 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.