Trail Blazers vs. KingsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalGolden 1 Center · Sacramento
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 33 | 33 | 27 | 17 | 110 |
| SAC | 22 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 98 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 229.5 49¢
Why Coaches Corner likes it: Kings' 2026 preseason games average 223.7 total points across three games.
Coaches CornerUp 1% return this season · 961 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-0 on this game · +93% return
- Game total under 229.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US
Coaches CornerDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Kings' 2026 preseason games average 223.7 total points across three games.
- Portland's two preseason games average 213.0 total points; the 229.5 line is 16.5 points higher.
- Portland played Monday and used 13 players for 13.6, 21.5 minutes, consistent with coach Mike Nori's preseason rotation-spreading approach.
- Preseason bench-heavy units can create extreme pace and defensive breakdowns.
- Game under 227.5 total points+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: blended pace is 105.7; Portland 102.1 and Sacramento 109.2 both have pace_l10_delta of 0.0.
- Live Q1 showed 25.8/26.8 possessions; the 26.3 average is roughly 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes.
- Efficiency blend projects about 217, 218 points: POR attack 118.8 versus SAC defense 107.4; SAC attack 97.43 versus POR defense 88.95.
- The first quarter produced 55 points; sustaining roughly 57 points per remaining quarter defeats the under.
- Game under 229.5 total points+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Kings average 109.2 preseason possessions versus 101.9 in 2025 regular season; Sacramento is the likely tempo driver.
- Portland 118.8 ORtg versus Sacramento 107.4 DRtg gives a 113.1 blended offensive-efficiency estimate.
- Sacramento 97.4 ORtg versus Portland 89.0 DRtg gives a 93.2 blended estimate on the other end.
- Sabonis and Monk remain questionable in both the live injury feed and ESPN's same-game listing; the 11.5-point model gap is suspect.
- Portland Trail Blazers −5.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on DraftKings
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Live injury feed lists Sacramento without Sabonis, LaVine, Monk, Hunter, Acuff, Raynaud and Cardwell for this preseason game.
- Direct DraftKings pricing is Portland -5.5 at -110; the captured board's home +6.5 snapshot was stale relative to the live odds pull.
- Sacramento's missing primary creation and frontcourt depth supports Portland covering a modest number.
- Preseason minutes and lineup intentions are uncertain; Portland's key additions may also receive limited run.
Questions
Who won Trail Blazers vs. Kings?
The Trail Blazers won 110–98 on Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026.