Warriors vs. Trail BlazersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalModa Center · Portland
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW | 31 | 19 | 36 | 32 | 118 |
| POR | 36 | 21 | 29 | 37 | 123 |
Top model pick, graded
WonPortland Trail Blazers to win 81¢
Why Coaches Corner likes it: Nori says Portland will use a normal first-half rotation, with most players playing 18, 20 minutes.
Coaches CornerUp 1% return this season · 961 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-0 on this game · +62% return
- Portland Trail Blazers to win+23%Won
Taken at 81¢ on Kalshi
2 modelsCoaches Corner, Snapp Decision of the DayWhy 2 models like it
Coaches Corner- Nori says Portland will use a normal first-half rotation, with most players playing 18, 20 minutes.
- Portland has only Shaedon Sharpe listed out, preserving its planned rotation against a depleted Warriors group.
- Specific Portland starters were not published, and Lillard/Morant participation was not independently confirmed.
Snapp Decision of the Day- Golden State has only nine active players, with Curry and Green among those not traveling.
- The Warriors also lose Butler, Moody, Porzingis, Podziemski, Melton, Payton II and others to rest/injury.
- Preseason rotations are volatile; Portland's minutes and late scratches are not fully confirmed.
- Game total over 218.5 points+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projected total 223, roughly 4.5 points above the 218.5 market rung.
- Tempo: Golden State's 109.3 pace over two 2026 preseason games should pull Portland above its 104.4 2025 regular-season pace.
- Efficiency blend: Golden State 103.2 ORtg versus Portland 110.8 DRtg; Portland 110.7 ORtg versus Golden State 92.35 DRtg.
- Curry, Green, Podziemski and other Warriors are rest-related outs or questionables; projected backup-heavy lineups increase uncertainty.
- Game total over 216.5+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: 222.5 points, 6.0 above the same-rung Kalshi threshold (PROJECTION).
- Portland projects as tempo dictator: 112.2 prior-preseason pace versus 104.4 regular-season pace; Golden State is at 109.3.
- Efficiency blend: Golden State 103.2 ORTG versus Portland 110.8 DRTG; Portland 110.7 ORTG versus Golden State 92.35 DRTG.
- Portland has no 2026 game sample; its 112.2 pace is from 2025 preseason and is stale.
Questions
Who won Warriors vs. Trail Blazers?
The Trail Blazers won 123–118 on Wednesday, Oct 7, 2026.