Blues vs. AvalancheFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalBall Arena

Blues

1–6Final

Avalanche

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	T
STL	0	0	1	1
COL	2	4	0	6

Top model pick, graded

Won

Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 points −125

Why Jay Money PrizePicks Matrix likes it: 2 points in Colorado's opener clears the 1.5 line by 33%.

Models went 2-0 on this game · +82% return

Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 points
+80%Won
Taken at −125 on DraftKings
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 2 points in Colorado's opener clears the 1.5 line by 33%.
- Colorado opened with 8 goals and 29 shots, an aggressive scoring and pace environment.
- MacKinnon is confirmed active on Colorado's top line; the live board prices this exact game prop.
- One-game current-season sample makes the 33% form gap highly fragile.
Mackenzie Blackwood over 20.5 total saves
+85%Won
Taken at −118 on FanDuel
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Blackwood's current .871 save percentage is 3.4 points below .905, so regression supplies the second confirming factor; the posted prop confirms the starter.
- Most likely loss: St. Louis produces 20 or fewer shots on goal on the back end of its back-to-back, leaving Blackwood under 21 saves.

The Avalanche won 6–1 on Saturday, Oct 3, 2026.