Rangers vs. DevilsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalPrudential Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| NJ | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Top model pick, graded
WonDylan Garand under 28.5 total saves −130
Why Crease Workload likes it: His .9506 raw save percentage is .0456 above .905 in four games; the required regression favors the under.
Crease WorkloadUp 16% return this season · 87 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +31% return
- Dylan Garand under 28.5 total saves+77%Won
Taken at −130 on DraftKings
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- His .9506 raw save percentage is .0456 above .905 in four games; the required regression favors the under.
- New York is -130 with a 1.000 completeGamePct, so neither early-pull nor incomplete-game haircuts changes the under model.
- Most likely loss: New Jersey reaches 29 or more shots, overcoming Garand's low current shots-against rate.
- New York Rangers @ New Jersey Devils first-period total under 1.5+117%Won
Taken at 46¢ on Polymarket US
First Frame SumDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model mean is about 1.42 first-period goals after nesting team rates into the 6.4-goal game mean.
- NYR and NJD first-period scoring/conceding samples combine for only 1.27 raw matchup goals.
- Clean ladder: both sides quoted, monotone, and the rung is actively traded.
- Only 14 current-season team games inform the period-rate estimate; variance is substantial.
- Game total under 6.5−100%Lost
Taken at 55¢ on Polymarket US
Morning PuckDown 21% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Shrunk Poisson model projects 5.9 goals and 62% probability of six or fewer.
- Rangers average 3.375 goals scored; Devils allow 3.667, with both rates shrunk toward the 3.136 league average.
- Projected goalies are Dylan Garand (.951 save percentage) and Nico Daws (.824); the goalie-adjusted total remains 5.9.
- Daws is listed likely, not confirmed; a different Devils goalie materially changes the projection.
Questions
Who won Rangers vs. Devils?
The Devils won 7–1 on Thursday, Oct 15, 2026.