Bruins vs. KingsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalCrypto.com Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| LAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Top model pick, graded
WonAnton Forsberg over 22.5 total saves −115
Why Crease Workload likes it: Anton Forsberg's 22.5-save line is posted at DraftKings and Pinnacle, confirming the listed starter; DraftKings is -115.
Crease WorkloadUp 16% return this season · 87 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 5-2 on this game · +23% return
- Anton Forsberg over 22.5 total saves+87%Won
Taken at −115 on DraftKings
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Anton Forsberg's 22.5-save line is posted at DraftKings and Pinnacle, confirming the listed starter; DraftKings is -115.
- Forsberg's raw .8529 save percentage is 5.21 points below .905; with two current games, regression favors the over.
- LA played no game yesterday; Forsberg's completeGamePct is 1.00 and LA is -135, so no fatigue or early-pull haircut applies.
- Partial coverage uses prior-season team rates because both current teams have fewer than 15 games.
- Elias Lindholm under 1.5 shots on goal−100%Lost
Taken at −115 on DraftKings
Frozen FrenzyDown 19% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projected mean 1.25 SOG; negative-binomial P(Under 1.5) is approximately 58%.
- Lindholm averages 1.375 SOG/game and 3.857 individual SOG/60 through eight games.
- Under 1.5 landed in 6 of 8 games; the only five-shot outlier drives much of the variance.
- Projected PP1 role and Los Angeles averaging 3.8 shorthanded situations per game can add attempts.
- Boston Bruins +2.5+27%Won
Taken at 79¢ on Polymarket US
Fair DogDown 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Anchored Skellam fit (total 5.5; sharp ML) gives LA win-by-3+ probability 16.8%, making Boston +2.5 fair at 83.2%.
- Boston rates: 3.75 goals-for and 2.25 against per game; Los Angeles: 2.20 for and 4.20 against.
- Swayman is projected for Boston; Kings Insider names Forsberg for Los Angeles, with current save rates .930 and .853.
- Boston is on a back-to-back after playing Oct. 16; Los Angeles has four days of rest.
- Boston Bruins to win+122%Won
Taken at 45¢ on Polymarket US
Cohort CheckDown 26% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Boston has 3.75 goals per game and 2.25 against through eight; Los Angeles is at 2.20 and 4.20 through five.
- Jeremy Swayman is expected for Boston; the Kings Insider game preview identifies Anton Forsberg in net for Los Angeles.
- Boston is on the second of a back-to-back; Los Angeles has four days of rest.
- David Pastrnak over 2.5 shots on goal+54%Won
Taken at −185 on BetMGM
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 29% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 7 of Pastrnak's last 8 games cleared 2.5 shots on goal.
- He averages 3.6 SOG across his last 5 and 3.6 across his last 8.
- Boston is 6-2 and averaging 3.75 goals per game through eight regular-season contests.
- Boston is playing the second night of a back-to-back after Friday's Anaheim game.
- David Pastrnak over 0.5 assists+73%Won
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pastrnak has 7 assists in his last 7 current-season games, clearing this line every time.
- The 1.00 assists-per-game recent rate is 100% above the 0.5 posted threshold.
- Boston's 27.3% power play ranks fifth; Los Angeles' 57.9% penalty kill ranks 32nd.
- Assists are high-variance; one missed pass or finishing variance loses despite strong recent form.
Show all 7 picks
- First-period total under 0.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 17¢ on Polymarket US
First Frame SumDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Boston/Los Angeles recent first-period rates imply about 1.74 goals before matchup-total adjustment.
- Nesting the live 5.5 game total into the brief's period means gives a first-period mean near 1.55.
- The under-0.5 rung has both sides quoted, a roughly 1-cent spread, and the nearby 1.5/2.5 ladder remains monotone.
- The estimated edge is only about four points; modest mean error erases it.
Questions
Who won Bruins vs. Kings?
The Bruins won 4–1 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.