FinalS.B. Ballard Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| ODU | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Top model pick, graded
WonEast Carolina Pirates spread +2.5 49¢
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −2% return
- East Carolina Pirates spread +2.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Old Dominion Monarchs −4.5−100%Lost
Taken at 41¢ on ProphetX
Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Book levels tie 3-3; two measures agree, with a few hundred dollars at the thin quote.
- Only two measures support the read; book-level corroboration is tied 3-3.
- 1H total over 23.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi
Two QuartersDown 1% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2026 Weeks 1-2: ECU averaged 61.0 plays and ODU 56.5; 25 prior combined drives/game and 4.45 plays/drive project 13.2 first-half drives.
- Only two games per team; ODU's Week 1 pace value of 5.38 seconds/play is a data-quality outlier and was not trusted.
- Old Dominion Monarchs to win−100%Lost
Taken at 40¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ODU's 2026 two-game profile: +0.13 offensive EPA/play and 1.77 points/drive; ECU: -0.04 and 1.34.
- ECU allowed +0.21 defensive EPA/play versus ODU's +0.01; the early 7-0 score need not erase that matchup gap.
- 0 at 3:55 of the first quarter is a small live sample; home ODU still has substantial comeback time at +196.
- Most likely loss: ECU protects its 7-0 lead while ODU's offense continues its poor start.
Questions
Who won East Carolina vs. Old Dominion?
East Carolina won 20-17 on Saturday, Sep 19, 2026.