App State vs. Coastal CarolinaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBrooks Stadium (SC)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 14 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 35 |
| CCU | 7 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 32 |
Top model pick, graded
WonApp State Mountaineers to win 52¢
Why Resting Money likes it: Two of three measures align: App State is thin at quote and deeper overall; book_levels tie 3-3.
Resting MoneyDown 3% this season · 1232 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −29% return
- App State Mountaineers to win+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Two of three measures align: App State is thin at quote and deeper overall; book_levels tie 3-3.
- REFERENCE is the only reference; no independent sharp reference or projection model supports the side.
- App State Mountaineers −7.5−100%Lost
Taken at 29¢ on ProphetX
CFB Moonshot SinglesUp 44% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- App State's 0.16 season offensive EPA/play and −0.00 defensive EPA allowed/play beat Coastal's 0.04 and +0.08.
- App State is 3-2 with a +8.6 recent scoring margin; Coastal is 2-4 with only +0.8.
- App State lost 3-10 to Old Dominion last week and posted −0.32 offensive EPA/play in that game.
- Game total under 63.5−100%Lost
Taken at 57¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- At 14 combined points with 3:50 left in Q1, the 63.5 threshold still requires 49.5 additional points.
- Live pace is not yet overwhelming: 19 combined offensive plays and 26.1 seconds per play; weather is 75°F, mostly clear, 11-mph gusts.
- The most likely loss is another immediate explosive scoring sequence; both teams already scored in the opening quarter.
- App State Mountaineers spread +3+64%Won
Taken at 61¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION, App State's 2026 team-game averages lead Coastal in offensive EPA/play, 0.16 to 0.04, and success rate, 49.1% to 43.4%.
- App State's recent scoring-margin form is +8.6 per slate versus Coastal's +2.4; the matchup projects closer than a field-goal margin.
- ProphetX price -154 implies 60.6%; my estimate for App State covering +3 is 64%.
- Most likely loss: Coastal's home field turns a close game into a win by four or more.
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- App State's away defense has allowed 0.16 EPA/play and 32.5 points per game across two road games; Coastal averages 28.7 points at home.
- App State quarterback Malachi Singleton remains questionable after an ankle injury; the MRI result was not public, while the board still prices App as a small favorite.
- Pinnacle's same moneyline makes Coastal -101, independently supporting the home side while ProphetX offers +108.
- Singleton could be cleared and regain his pre-injury form; the starting-quarterback decision is unresolved.
Questions
Who won App State vs. Coastal Carolina?
App State won 35-32 on Friday, Oct 16, 2026.