Austin Peay vs. West GeorgiaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalUniversity Stadium (GA)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUST | 0 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24 |
| WEST | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Top model pick, graded
WonAustin Peay Governors to win 90¢
Why CFB Heater likes it: Austin Peay leads the underlying checks: 5-2 record, +23.6 recent margin, +0.245 offensive EPA/play versus West Georgia's -0.026.
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 5-1 on this game · +19% return
- Austin Peay Governors to win+11%Won
Taken at 90¢ on Polymarket US
3 modelsCFB Heater, Heater Two-Hour +1Why 3 models like it
CFB Heater- Austin Peay leads the underlying checks: 5-2 record, +23.6 recent margin, +0.245 offensive EPA/play versus West Georgia's -0.026.
- No game-specific injury or usage designations are on file, and FCS outcomes carry meaningful late-game variance.
Heater Two-Hour- Austin Peay is a heavy favorite, so 89.5¢ leaves limited room for error and favorite-game variance.
D1 Winner- Austin Peay averages +0.245 offensive EPA/play; West Georgia averages -0.026.
- Austin Peay leads recent success rate 47.7% to 42.5% and explosive rate 16.8% to 11.2%.
- No official game-day starting-QB designation was published; both primary passers remain an availability uncertainty.
- Austin Peay Governors spread −20.5−100%Lost
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Austin Peay owns +0.245 EPA/play, 47.7% success and 36.3 points/game; West Georgia allows +0.125 EPA/play and 32.5 points/game.
- Season scoring-margin gap is 30.4 points: Austin Peay +16.7, West Georgia -13.7.
- Fox Sports lists Chris Parson and Luke Marble as the respective starting quarterbacks; both teams played seven days ago, so rest is even.
- West Georgia is home and a late touchdown creates backdoor-cover risk at a three-score number.
- Game total under 55.5+93%Won
Taken at −108 on DraftKings
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- West Georgia averages only 18.8 points and owns -0.026 EPA/play; Austin Peay's defense allows 19.6 points/game over seven contests.
- Austin Peay's +0.245 offensive EPA/play meets a West Georgia defense allowing +0.125; the mismatch can produce a lead without a full-game shootout.
- North wind around 15 mph with gusts near 30 mph and a 64°F sunny forecast are meaningful passing and kicking friction.
- Austin Peay averages 36.3 points and has multiple explosive offensive games; one early efficiency spike can break 55.5.
- West Georgia Wolves spread +19.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Austin Peay averaged 0.245 offensive EPA/play over seven 2026 games versus West Georgia's -0.027 over six.
- Austin Peay averages 36.3 points scored and 19.6 allowed; West Georgia averages 18.8 scored and 32.5 allowed, but the 19.5 home spread overstates the gap.
- Pinnacle also prices West Georgia +19.5, at -121; ProphetX offers the same line at -117.
- Austin Peay's explosive offense can turn its efficiency edge into a 20-plus-point margin.
Questions
Who won Austin Peay vs. West Georgia?
The Austin Peay won 24–10 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.