Bryant vs. MaineFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHarold Alfond Sports Stadium
Bryant4–2
17–14Final
Maine1–5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRYA | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| MAIN | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
Top model pick, graded
WonUnder 45 total 51¢
Why Drift likes it: Model 53.0% under: six-game scoring/defense blend projects 44.6 points (Bryant 20.5/23.3, Maine 14.5/30.8).
DriftUp 2% return this season · 537 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 5-2 on this game · +43% return
- Maine Black Bears to win−100%Lost
Taken at 57¢ on Polymarket
2 modelsCFB Heater, Heater Two-HourWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- Current Polymarket global price is 56.5¢; same-day buying momentum supports the Maine side.
- Maine is 1-5 with a -16.3 recent scoring margin; Bryant is 4-2 with a -2.8 margin.
Heater Two-Hour- Only two clearly qualifying recent moneyline signals were identified; this is not a broad consensus.
- Under 45 total+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
DriftUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model 53.0% under: six-game scoring/defense blend projects 44.6 points (Bryant 20.5/23.3, Maine 14.5/30.8).
- Maine's offense is -0.115 EPA/play with a 38.2% success rate; Bryant is +0.036 EPA/play and 48.7%.
- Pinnacle's exact 45 total (-119 over/-111 under) devigs to 49.2% under; model-market gap is 3.8 points.
- Most likely loss: explosive plays, turnovers, or short fields push this low-scoring matchup above 45.
- Bryant Bulldogs +2.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade 73/100 (B): clears the 70 fire threshold.
- Bryant SRS -24.4 versus Maine -44.4, a 20.0-point rating gap.
- Current-season scoring margin favors Bryant by 13.5 points: -2.8 versus Maine -16.3.
- Maine has home field and the market has moved toward the Black Bears relative to early prices.
- Bryant Bulldogs spread +1.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Bryant +1.5 wins on a Bryant win or a one-point loss; Bryant +1 only pushes on a one-point loss.
- ProphetX prices Bryant +1.5 at 51.92c (-108) versus Bryant +1 at 50.50c (-102), only a 1.42-point price gap.
- Bryant +1.5 loses on Maine wins by two or more; the whole-number Bryant +1 would push only at exactly one.
- Game total under 45.5+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Six-game scoring means are Bryant 20.5 and Maine 14.5, a 35.0-point raw combined baseline.
- Opponent-defense blend projects Bryant 25.7 and Maine 18.9, or 44.6 total before a conservative low-scoring adjustment.
- Most likely loss: Maine's home field plus Bryant's defense (0.098 EPA allowed/play) produces a 24-23 type game.
- Bryant Bulldogs to win+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- INTERNAL COHERENCE; VENUE SELF-REFERENCE: ProphetX's moneyline makes Bryant +114 (46.73¢), while its main spread makes Bryant -1.5 -186 (65.03¢).
- The same venue simultaneously prices Maine as the moneyline favorite at -124 and Bryant as the spread favorite; that direction conflict is the structural error.
- Bryant's current-season offense is +0.036 EPA/play with 20.5 points per game; Maine is -0.115 EPA/play with 14.5 points per game.
- Most likely loss: Maine wins outright, making the spread-ladder contradiction a bad or transient quote rather than a real correction signal.
Questions
Who won Bryant vs. Maine?
The Bryant won 17–14 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.