Duquesne vs. StonehillFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalW.B. Mason Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUQU | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
| STON | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-2 on this game · −100% return
- Stonehill Skyhawks to win−100%Lost
Taken at −172 on FanDuel
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Efficiency convergence: Stonehill's opponent-adjusted per-play read is stronger, offense EPA -0.035 vs Duquesne -0.087, with better explosive rate (13.0% vs 10.8%).
- Defense is the largest mismatch: Stonehill opponents' EPA averaged about +0.015/play, versus +0.161/play against Duquesne after garbage-time filtering.
- QB/injury family supports Stonehill: Jack O'Connell has 1,094 yards and 9 TDs against 2 INTs; Duquesne's Carson Camp has 583 yards, 4 TDs and 5 INTs.
- FCS sample is small: five Duquesne games and six Stonehill games, with opponent adjustment still noisy.
- Game total over 44.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- NO REFERENCE, no same-line sharp confirmation.
- Season averages imply 26.15 Stonehill points plus 20.95 Duquesne points, a 47.1-point projection.
- Both defenses allow positive EPA/play: Duquesne +0.1189 and Stonehill +0.0508, creating scoring and short-field upside.
- Most likely loss: 44 or fewer points as both offenses repeat low-efficiency drives.
Questions
Who won Duquesne vs. Stonehill?
The Duquesne won 14–7 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.