Eastern Kentucky vs. Tennessee TechFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalTucker Stadium
Eastern Kentucky2–4
20–49Final
Tennessee Tech5–1
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 |
| TENN | 7 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 49 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-3 on this game · −100% return
- Game total under 55.5−100%Lost
Taken at 66¢ on Polymarket US
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The six-game scoring blend points to roughly 50, 52 total points: EKU averages 18.3 scored and Tech 31.5.
- Tech's 3.06-second pace is slower than EKU's 2.52 seconds, reducing expected possessions if Tech controls the game.
- Both quarterbacks are identified in live matchup coverage, and both teams are on normal seven-day rest.
- Tech's offense posts +0.079 EPA/play and 2.40 points per drive; EKU's defense allows +0.114 EPA/play.
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels spread +10.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- TTU owns the efficiency edge, but its +8.3 average margin prices a runaway more aggressively than the matchup warrants.
- EKU has a usable 0.480 success rate and 11.4% explosiveness despite a negative -0.017 offensive EPA/play.
- Both teams had seven days' rest; there is no short-week fatigue edge for Tennessee Tech.
- TTU averages 31.5 points and 2.40 points per drive against an EKU defense allowing +0.114 EPA/play.
- Game total under 52.5−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Adjacent ProphetX rungs price under 51.5 at 73.68¢ (-280) and under 53.5 at 75.00¢ (-300); the 52.5 rung is a clear ladder inversion.
- The six-game scoring averages project 49.8 combined points: Tennessee Tech 31.5 and Eastern Kentucky 18.3.
- Reference label: SHARP REFERENCE; the venue's own adjacent ladder is the structural mispricing signal.
- Most likely loss: Tennessee Tech converts its 59.3% pass rate into efficient explosive drives and the game reaches 53 or more.
Questions
Who won Eastern Kentucky vs. Tennessee Tech?
The Tennessee Tech won 49–20 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.