Gardner-Webb Runnin' vs. UT MartinFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHardy M. Graham Stadium
Gardner-Webb Runnin'2–5
6–17Final
UT Martin2–4
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GARD | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| UT | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-3 on this game · −100% return
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs spread −1.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Polymarket
2 modelsCFB Heater, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
CFB HeaterLong Way Home- Gardner-Webb allows 23.3 points per game and -0.035 defensive EPA/play; UT Martin allows 33.8 points and +0.247 defensive EPA/play.
- Recent scoring margin favors Gardner-Webb by 2.0 points over its last five versus UT Martin's -8.6; my cover estimate is 54%.
- Most likely loss: UT Martin's home offense reproduces its 42-point Tennessee State outing while Gardner-Webb's offense stalls at its 21.6-point average.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Gardner-Webb's season defense is materially better: -0.035 EPA allowed/play versus UT Martin's +0.247.
- Gardner-Webb allows 23.3 points/game versus 33.8 for UT Martin, while recent form favors Gardner-Webb by scoring margin (+2.0 versus -8.6).
- UT Martin has home field and Gardner-Webb's offense is weak at -0.076 EPA/play and 21.6 points/game.
Questions
Who won Gardner-Webb Runnin' vs. UT Martin?
The UT Martin won 17–6 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.