Georgetown vs. ColgateFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalAndy Kerr Stadium
Georgetown1–4
27–17Final
Colgate4–2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEOR | 0 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 27 |
| COLG | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGeorgetown Hoyas spread +20.5 47¢
Why House Rules likes it: Georgetown +20.5 cannot push; it wins if Colgate wins by exactly 20, while Georgetown +20 pushes.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1401 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-2 on this game · +23% return
- Colgate Raiders to win−100%Lost
Taken at 94¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Colgate's verified pregame profile leads: 86.1 team grade versus Georgetown's 63.3; recent margin +7.8 versus -10.2.
- The price already moved from 89-90c to 93.5c, compressing the momentum edge.
- Colgate Raiders −20.5−100%Lost
Taken at −124 on DraftKings
RnjDown 65% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Fair margin 23.5 points versus DraftKings -20.5: estimated 3.0-point spread edge.
- 2026 SRS rates Colgate -20.1 and Georgetown -42.2, a 22.1-point neutral-field gap before venue context.
- Colgate is 4-2 with +8.2 average margin; Georgetown is 1-4 with a -10.2 recent average margin.
- This is an FCS sample with only six Colgate and five Georgetown usable 2026 games; opponent-adjustment uncertainty remains material.
- Georgetown Hoyas spread +20.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Georgetown +20.5 cannot push; it wins if Colgate wins by exactly 20, while Georgetown +20 pushes.
- an exact 20-point margin occurred in 176 of 10,371 completed games, or 1.697%.
- ProphetX prices +20.5 at 46.73¢ (+114) versus +20 at 46.08¢ (+117), only a 0.65¢ gap for the 1.697% exact-margin bucket.
- The 1.697% exact-margin rate is all CFB 2014, 25, not matchup-specific, and FCS margin distributions may differ.
- Georgetown Hoyas spread +18.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The sharp reference centers Colgate around -20 to -20.5; the executable +18.5 rung captures key-number cushion below that market center.
- CFB margin density is non-flat: exact margins 18 and 21 occurred 270 and 410 times, versus 173 and 179 at 19 and 20.
- Recent scoring-margin form is closer to this rung than the headline spread: Colgate +8.2 per game versus Georgetown -10.2, an 18.4-point gap.
- Most likely loss: Colgate's superior defense and Georgetown's weak offense turn the matchup into a 19-plus-point home win.
- Game total under 45.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- simple score blend projects 40.8 points, 4.7 below ProphetX's 45.5.
- Colgate averages 22.3 scored and 14.2 allowed; Georgetown averages 17.4 scored and 27.6 allowed.
- Combined scoring average is 39.7; Georgetown's offense is -0.013 EPA/play with 42.8% success.
- Most likely loss: Georgetown's weak defense yields short fields or explosive scores, pushing Colgate toward 30-plus points.
Questions
Who won Georgetown vs. Colgate?
The Georgetown won 27–17 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.