Hampton vs. Sacred HeartFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalCampus Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAMP | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| SACR | 0 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 35 |
Top model pick, graded
WonSacred Heart Pioneers to win 84¢
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-2 on this game · −15% return
- Sacred Heart Pioneers to win+19%Won
Taken at 84¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, Brewing CFB MoneylinesWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- An 84% favorite still loses 16% of the time; a single-game upset creates substantial variance.
Brewing CFB Moneylines- Composite current model makes Sacred Heart 90.5%: SRS gap is 20.0 points before home field.
- Sacred Heart leads 2026 opponent-adjusted offensive EPA and success rate: -0.002/.397 vs Hampton -0.094/.376.
- Tre'Von Taylor is a reliable projected Hampton starter after Jalen Woods' injury, but the official Hampton preview does not make a formal game-day announcement.
- Sacred Heart Pioneers spread −13.5+90%Won
Taken at −111 on DraftKings
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Efficiency: Sacred Heart's recent offense EPA/play is +0.0446 versus Hampton's -0.1751; success rate is 45.6% versus 39.6%.
- QB/injury: Hampton's official preview says starter Jalen Woods is out; Tre'Von Taylor replaces him, while Sacred Heart's Poochie Snyder continues.
- Market confirmation: Sacred Heart moved from -12.5 to -13.5, with the identifiable Woods injury supplying the driver; home venue adds situational support.
- FCS data is thin: only five Hampton and six Sacred Heart games, with opponent-adjustment uncertainty.
- Game total under 43.5−100%Lost
Taken at −108 on FanDuel
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Adjusted EPA strongly favors a low-scoring Hampton offense: -0.238 adjusted offensive EPA versus Sacred Heart's +0.005.
- Hampton's recent offense averaged 0.905 points per drive and 39.6% success; Sacred Heart defense allowed 0.067 adjusted EPA per play.
- Rate-based score-distribution blend centers near 40, 41 total points; stressed under probability remains approximately 54, 58%.
- Sacred Heart's defense can create a short-field blowout against Hampton's defense, which carries a poor +0.151 adjusted EPA allowed.
- Hampton Pirates spread +12.5−100%Lost
Taken at 43¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX's adjacent Hampton +13.5 rung is -103 (50.7¢); the 7.6-point implied-probability gap is unusually large for one point.
- Main spread reference is -13.5 at DraftKings -111, FanDuel -115, and BetOnline -115; ProphetX's +12.5 price is the outlier rung.
- Hampton's 0-5 form still supports taking points rather than the moneyline; this is a price-structure play, not a claim Hampton is the better team.
- Most likely loss: Sacred Heart controls the game and wins by 13 or more.
Questions
Who won Hampton vs. Sacred Heart?
The Sacred Heart won 35–21 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.