Lamar vs. SE LouisianaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalStrawberry Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMA | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 31 |
| SE | 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 34 |
Top model pick, graded
WonSE Louisiana Lions +5 spread 51¢
Why House Rules likes it: SE Louisiana +5 pushes if Lamar wins by exactly 5; +5.5 wins that exact margin.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1401 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +35% return
- SE Louisiana Lions +5 spread+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SE Louisiana +5 pushes if Lamar wins by exactly 5; +5.5 wins that exact margin.
- CFB regular-season history: exact 5-point margins occurred 251 of 10,713 games, a 2.343% push probability.
- The 2.343% push rate is league-wide historical frequency, not a matchup-specific projection.
- Game total over 50.5+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Lamar's six completed games average 52.7 total points; SE Louisiana's average is 55.3.
- A simple offense-versus-opponent-defense blend projects about 54 points: Lamar 28.9, SE Louisiana 25.1.
- Most likely loss: SE Louisiana's 3-13 outing was a real offensive regression, and Lamar's defense forces another low-scoring game.
- Lamar Cardinals spread −5.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Lamar's six-game 2026 profile is +0.095 offensive EPA/play and -0.021 defensive EPA allowed versus SE Louisiana's +0.018 and +0.106.
- Lamar averages a +7.3 margin; SE Louisiana averages -0.3 across six games, supporting a margin beyond the posted 5.5.
- Home field and regression could compress Lamar's observed +7.67-point margin gap.
Questions
Who won Lamar vs. SE Louisiana?
The SE Louisiana won 34–31 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.