South Dakota State vs. North DakotaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalAlerus Center
South Dakota State5-1
10–21Final
North Dakota5-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUT | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| NORT | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
Top model pick, graded
WonNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks spread +14 50¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: North Dakota is +28.0 per game at home (53.0-25.0), while South Dakota State is only +0.5 in two road games.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3706 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +142% return
- Game total over 55.5−100%Lost
Taken at 44¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - North Dakota Fighting Hawks spread +14+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- North Dakota is +28.0 per game at home (53.0-25.0), while South Dakota State is only +0.5 in two road games.
- North Dakota's home offense averages +0.29 EPA/play; South Dakota State's road offense averages +0.07 EPA/play.
- North Dakota QB Jerry Kaminski's status was reported uncertain Friday; no accessible live confirmation resolved the starter question.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks to win+426%Won
Taken at 19¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Home/away adjustment: South Dakota State has averaged only 24.5 points in two road games, versus 49.0 at home.
- North Dakota's home sample is only three games, while South Dakota State is 5-1 with a 16.0-point season defensive average.
Questions
Who won South Dakota State vs. North Dakota?
North Dakota won 21-10 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.