UAlbany vs. Stony BrookFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalKenneth P. LaValle Stadium
UAlbany3–3
48–31Final
Stony Brook4–2
Score by period
Team1234T
UALB317141448
STON71001431

Top model pick, graded

Won

UAlbany Great Danes spread +6 51¢

Why Long Way Home likes it: Season scoring/allowing blends put both teams near 25.5 points before home-field adjustment; that supports a margin well below the six-point market number.

Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks

How the picks did

Models went 1-1 on this game · −2% return

  1. Stony Brook Seawolves to winFavorite
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 66¢ on Polymarket US

    CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • The 65.5¢ exchange price is slightly better than the -200 to -210 sportsbook moneyline range.
    • Stony Brook's market edge is modest: its 4-2 record and 34.2 points per game face UAlbany's stronger -0.0575 defensive EPA per play.
  2. UAlbany Great Danes spread +6
    +96%Won

    Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Season scoring/allowing blends put both teams near 25.5 points before home-field adjustment; that supports a margin well below the six-point market number.
    • UAlbany allows 16.8 points per game across six games, while Stony Brook allows 29.7; the defensive gap is underweighted by the favorite's 4-1 recent form.
    • The sharp reference is Stony Brook -6 at -111 (DraftKings) and -115 (Pinnacle); ProphetX gives the other side at a better price on the same number.
    • Stony Brook is 4-1 over its last five with a +6.8 scoring margin, while UAlbany is 2-3; current form can overwhelm season defense.

Questions

Who won UAlbany vs. Stony Brook?

The UAlbany won 48–31 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.