UAlbany vs. Stony BrookFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalKenneth P. LaValle Stadium
UAlbany3–3
48–31Final
Stony Brook4–2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UALB | 3 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 48 |
| STON | 7 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 31 |
Top model pick, graded
WonUAlbany Great Danes spread +6 51¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: Season scoring/allowing blends put both teams near 25.5 points before home-field adjustment; that supports a margin well below the six-point market number.
How the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · −2% return
- Stony Brook Seawolves to win−100%Lost
Taken at 66¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The 65.5¢ exchange price is slightly better than the -200 to -210 sportsbook moneyline range.
- Stony Brook's market edge is modest: its 4-2 record and 34.2 points per game face UAlbany's stronger -0.0575 defensive EPA per play.
- UAlbany Great Danes spread +6+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Season scoring/allowing blends put both teams near 25.5 points before home-field adjustment; that supports a margin well below the six-point market number.
- UAlbany allows 16.8 points per game across six games, while Stony Brook allows 29.7; the defensive gap is underweighted by the favorite's 4-1 recent form.
- The sharp reference is Stony Brook -6 at -111 (DraftKings) and -115 (Pinnacle); ProphetX gives the other side at a better price on the same number.
- Stony Brook is 4-1 over its last five with a +6.8 scoring margin, while UAlbany is 2-3; current form can overwhelm season defense.
Questions
Who won UAlbany vs. Stony Brook?
The UAlbany won 48–31 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.