Penguins vs. Blue JacketsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalNationwide Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CBJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Top model pick, graded
WonRickard Rakell under 2.5 shots on goal −152
Why THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEM likes it: Rakell has stayed under 2.5 SOG in 3 of 4 2026 games: 3, 2, 2, 2.
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 8% this season · 173 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −67% return
- Game over 7.5 total goals−100%Lost
Taken at 30¢ on Novig
Goal LadderUp 58% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Poisson fit to de-vigged Pinnacle moneyline/6.5 total implies 6.79 combined goals.
- The total ladder is monotonic from 3.5 through 9.5, and 7.5 is one rung above the 6.5 main line.
- Both goalies remain projected rather than confirmed: Greaves for Columbus and Murashov/Silovs unresolved for Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh Penguins to win−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket US
Cohort CheckDown 26% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Independent blended goal-rate estimate makes Pittsburgh a 54% winner versus 48.4% sharp-book away probability.
- 2025 full-season rates were PIT 3.54 GF/3.15 GA and CBJ 3.00 GF/3.06 GA; early 2026 rates are PIT 4.50/3.25 and CBJ 3.50/3.50.
- Daily Faceoff confirmed Sergei Murashov and Cam Talbot as the starters at 9:16 AM and 8:10 AM PDT.
- The current-season sample is only four Pittsburgh games and two Columbus games.
- Rickard Rakell under 2.5 shots on goal+66%Won
Taken at −152 on FanDuel
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 29% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Rakell has stayed under 2.5 SOG in 3 of 4 2026 games: 3, 2, 2, 2.
- His 18:26, 20:37 TOI range shows a stable role without an obvious minutes spike.
- DraftKings/FanDuel list Rakell for this game; FanDuel's live under price is -152.
- Four-game early-season sample is thin and may not represent Rakell's full-season shot rate.
- Kent Johnson over 0.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2 5-on-5 points in 2 games this season; the 0.5 line is a 100% form-rate divergence.
- Johnson is projected on Columbus's top line with Fantilli and Knies.
- Columbus is averaging 3.5 goals per game, while the posted game total is 6.5.
- Two-game sample is extremely thin and can be driven by shooting variance.
- Pittsburgh Penguins–Columbus Blue Jackets first-period total over 2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 31¢ on Polymarket US
First Frame SumDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Team-rate projection is 7.375 goals: PIT 4.0 expected, CBJ 3.375 expected.
- Actionable first-period ladder is monotone, with both sides quoted and 1¢ spreads through 2.5.
- PIT's form is only four games and CBJ's only two, so the team-rate estimate is highly noisy.
Questions
Who won Penguins vs. Blue Jackets?
The Blue Jackets won 3–2 on Friday, Oct 9, 2026.