Panthers vs. Blue JacketsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalNationwide Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| CBJ | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Top model pick, graded
WonAkira Schmid over 23.5 total saves 52¢
Crease WorkloadUp 16% return this season · 87 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-2 on this game · +48% return
- Columbus Blue Jackets to win−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCohort Check, high-confidence main marketsWhy 2 models like it
Cohort Check- 57.5% independent Blue Jackets estimate vs 54.8% Pinnacle devig: +2.7 points.
- Columbus has 3.25 GF/game and 3.50 GA/game; Florida has 2.00 GF/game and 2.833 GA/game in current samples.
- Talbot has only one start and Schmid only two, so the goalie gap is a thin-sample signal.
high-confidence main markets- Independent win probability 62.5% versus Pinnacle's 54.8% devigged market reference; fair price about -167.
- Florida is on a back-to-back with 1 day since its last game; Columbus has 3 days' rest.
- Florida's 56.3% season Corsi and 53.8% five-on-five Corsi are materially better than Columbus' 48.5% and 50.1%.
- Akira Schmid over 23.5 total saves+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on Kalshi
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 days - Florida Panthers −1.5+300%Won
Taken at 25¢ on Polymarket US
Rung SeamDown 29% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The sharp reference prices Florida +1.5 near 67.3%, implying roughly 32.7% for Florida -1.5; 25¢ is materially lower.
- The full ladder remains monotone, isolating the 1.5-goal cross-rung mismatch rather than a broad board failure.
- Florida is the underdog and needs a two-goal win; early-season scoring variance is wide.
- Matthew Tkachuk over 0.5 points+47%Won
Taken at −215 on DraftKings
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 29% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 5 points in 6 games this season, including a point in five straight entering this matchup.
- 2025-26 baseline: 34 points in 31 games, or 1.097 points per game.
- Official NHL projection places Tkachuk on Florida's top line with Brady Tkachuk and Sam Bennett.
- Florida has scored only 2.00 goals per game through six games; Barkov and Marchand remain injured.
Questions
Who won Panthers vs. Blue Jackets?
The Panthers won 7–3 on Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026.