Devils vs. CapitalsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalCapital One Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| WSH | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Top model pick, graded
WonJake Allen under 25.5 saves −137
Why Jay Money PrizePicks Matrix likes it: Allen made 23, 20, 26, and 23 saves in his last four starts; under 25.5 in three of four.
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 8% this season · 628 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −30% return
- New Jersey Devils +1.5 puck line−100%Lost
Taken at −260 on FanDuel
high-confidence main marketsDown 20% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- NJ averages 35.6 shots for and 25.0 against; Washington is 26.1 for and 29.6 against.
- Over the last five games, NJ posted approximately 60.7% five-on-five Corsi versus Washington's 47.4%.
- NJ is 4-1 in its last five with a +5 goal margin; Washington is 3-2 with a +1 margin.
- Washington has home ice and the stronger early-season goaltending sample; Thompson is about .904 through five starts versus Allen near .890 through four.
- New Jersey Devils to win−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US
Scratch TapeDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Matt Roy is confirmed to miss Washington's sixth straight; his 2025 usage was 20.6 minutes per game (34.4% of a 60-minute player slot).
- My usage-based rebuild assigns New Jersey roughly +0.15 expected goals from Roy's absence; Polymarket US moved only 1.5 probability points toward New Jersey from its 47.0¢ opening-side quote.
- Roy's absence was known before the wake and he had already missed five games; the timing edge may be partly absorbed.
- Jake Allen under 25.5 saves+73%Won
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Allen made 23, 20, 26, and 23 saves in his last four starts; under 25.5 in three of four.
- Those four starts average 23.0 saves, 2.5 below the PrizePicks line.
- Washington averages 26.1 shots per game, a modest workload baseline before goals reduce save opportunities.
- Washington can exceed its 26.1-shot average and push Allen above the threshold.
- Jack Hughes over 0.5 assists−100%Lost
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 7 assists across his last five games (1.4 per game) against a 0.5 threshold.
- Hughes recorded at least one assist in all five recent games.
- Devils average 3.29 goals per game, creating multiple assist pathways.
- Washington's 83.3% penalty kill ranks 12th and can reduce power-play chances.
- Logan Thompson over 25.5 total saves+78%Won
Taken at −128 on FanDuel
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 days
Questions
Who won Devils vs. Capitals?
The Capitals won 4–2 on Saturday, Oct 17, 2026.