Capitals vs. PredatorsFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalBridgestone Arena

Capitals

4–3Final

Predators

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	T
WSH	1	2	1	4
NSH	1	1	1	3

Top model pick, graded

Won

Jakob Chychrun over 2.5 shots on goal −137

Why Jay Money PrizePicks Matrix likes it: 29 shots over his last 10 games equals 2.9 per game, 16% above the 2.5 line.

Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 8% this season · 631 picks

Get the next picks first

How the picks did

Models went 3-4 on this game · −32% return

Jakob Chychrun over 2.5 shots on goalHigh conviction
+73%Won
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 5% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 29 shots over his last 10 games equals 2.9 per game, 16% above the 2.5 line.
- 31 season shots in 11 games equals 2.82 per game, 13% above the line.
- Chychrun was confirmed in Washington's 4:00pm lineup and is priced for this game.
- A one-shot miss loses; the 0.5-shot cushion leaves meaningful variance.
Nashville Predators to win
−100%Lost
Taken at −107 on williamhill_us
Shot Share LagDown 25% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Team SAT: Washington 0.49 vs Nashville 0.46; Washington has the process edge, but its record is the more inflated side.
- Washington 1.02 vs Nashville 0.99; the mild hot/cold split supports fading Washington's overperformance.
- Expected PP / standings: WSH 0.48 vs 0.64, divergence +0.16; NSH 0.41 vs 0.54, divergence +0.14.
- Washington is on a back-to-back after Wednesday's 5-2 win; fatigue can suppress Nashville's advantage if Washington's finishing holds.
Ryan Leonard over 1.5 shots on goal
+64%Won
Taken at −156 on FanDuel
Frozen FrenzyDown 19% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Leonard cleared 1.5 SOG in 9 of his last 10 current-season games.
- Five dated projections keep him on line 4 and PP2; Washington allows 27.64 shots and 47 SAT per game, a high-event matchup.
- FanDuel -156; multiplicative devig is 57.3%, leaving the model at 66% after market-information caution.
- Washington's lineup is expected rather than officially confirmed; a late role change or scratch invalidates the read.
Washington Capitals +1.5Favorite
+40%Won
Taken at −250 on BetMGM
high-confidence main marketsDown 16% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 72.5% independent cover probability; fair price about -257.
- Washington is 7-4 with 3.55 goals per game; Nashville is 4-3-5 with 2.83.
- Washington's 28.2 shots against per game is better than Nashville's 29.3 allowed.
- Washington is on the second night of a back-to-back after beating Philadelphia 5-2 Wednesday.
Filip Forsberg under 2.5 shots on goal
−100%Lost
Taken at +132 on FanDuel
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 30% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Current-season distribution: 7 unders in 12 games (58.3%); L5 under in 3 of 5.
- L5 average is 2.0 shots, below the 2.5 line; FanDuel +132 implies about 43.1%.
- Confirmed in Nashville's lineup at 9:00am; sportsbook participant feed confirms he is playing this game.
- Season average is 2.67 shots and L10 is exactly 5 under, 5 over.
Game total under 6.5 goals
−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 5% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Season scoring: Washington 3.55 GF/game; Nashville 2.83; both defenses allow above 3.0.
- Juuse Saros is confirmed (.9068 save rate); Charlie Lindgren is expected (.8875), supporting a controlled baseline.
- Washington is on a back-to-back: one day rest and two games in four days.

Show all 7 picks

Nashville Predators −1.5Long shot
−100%Lost
Taken at 30¢ on Novig
NHL Active v2Down 0% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Juuse Saros and Charlie Lindgren were both confirmed starters, removing the main pregame identity uncertainty.
- The cushion is only 0.45 probability points; this is a market-reference edge, not a robust independent model edge.

Questions

Who won Capitals vs. Predators?

The Capitals won 4-3 on Thursday, Oct 29, 2026.