Kraken vs. FlamesFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalScotiabank Saddledome
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| CGY | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Top model pick, graded
WonOver 7.5 total goals 28¢
Why Goal Ladder likes it: The total ladder is monotonic, and 7.5 is one step above the 6.5 main line.
Goal LadderUp 49% return this season · 51 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −0% return
- Over 7.5 total goals+257%Won
Taken at 28¢ on Novig
Goal LadderUp 58% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The total ladder is monotonic, and 7.5 is one step above the 6.5 main line.
- Seattle projected goalie Joey Daccord is still unconfirmed; this is sized at 0.5u.
- Game total under 6.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
Scratch TapeDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Jonathan Huberdeau was confirmed out in Calgary's 9:30 AM lineup; the top-line forward is the timing trigger.
- Huberdeau averaged 18.1 minutes/game last season, about 30% of 60 minutes; his 0.546 5v5 goals/60 implies roughly 0.17 goals lost.
- Polymarket US barely moved toward the under after confirmation: over 48.5¢ overnight to 49.5¢ late morning.
- Huberdeau has been on injured reserve; Calgary's current scoring sample may already embed his absence, weakening the timing edge.
- Seattle Kraken to win−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
Morning PuckDown 21% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model makes Seattle a 55% winner after shrinking early-season rates toward the 3.16 league scoring average.
- Seattle scores 3.846 goals per game; Calgary allows 3.750, while Calgary scores 2.333.
- Confirmed Dustin Wolf owns an .839 save percentage; expected Joey Daccord is at .882, a meaningful goalie edge for Seattle.
- Daccord remains expected rather than confirmed at this morning wake; a late change materially alters the model.
- Calgary Flames team total under 3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 59¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Calgary averages 2.33 goals per game this season, with Huberdeau, Zary, Honzek, and Othmann listed out.
- Calgary’s confirmed starter is Dustin Wolf; Seattle’s expected goalie is Joey Daccord, with Grubauer as a credible alternative.
- The Polymarket US team-total ladder was read in full at 3:56 PM PT; the under contract is live and uniquely identified.
- Seattle has allowed 4.60 goals per game over its last five, creating a real path to four Calgary goals.
- Calgary Flames +1.5+43%Won
Taken at 70¢ on Novig
NHL Active v2Down 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Calgary averages 28.8 shots for and allows 30.3; Seattle averages 25.3 for and allows 31.0.
- Calgary's lineup is confirmed with Dustin Wolf; the +1.5 expression protects against a close result despite the goalie concern.
- Seattle is 8-4-1 with 3.85 goals per game; Calgary is 5-7 with 2.33, and Seattle won the two October meetings 6-1.
Questions
Who won Kraken vs. Flames?
The Flames won 6–2 on Friday, Oct 30, 2026.