Ducks vs. FlamesFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalScotiabank Saddledome
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| CGY | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Top model pick, graded
WonAnaheim Ducks to win 52¢
Why Morning Puck likes it: Shrunk four-game rates: Anaheim 3.50 GF/game versus Calgary 5.75 GA/game.
Morning PuckDown 34% this season · 60 picksLongshots
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-1 on this game · +36% return
- Cutter Gauthier over 3.5 shots on goal−100%Lost
Taken at −128 on FanDuel
NHL Shot Volume HunterDown 10% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 4.25 SOG/game across four current-season games, 0.75 above the 3.5 line.
- 20:18 average TOI; Gauthier is projected on Anaheim's second line and PP1.
- Calgary allows 28.75 SOG/game, tied for 10th-most through October 9.
- The baseline is only four games: the individual results were 1, 7, 4, and 5 SOG.
- Anaheim Ducks to win+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on Polymarket US
Morning PuckDown 21% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Shrunk four-game rates: Anaheim 3.50 GF/game versus Calgary 5.75 GA/game.
- Calgary is 0-4 with 23 goals allowed; Anaheim is 3-1 with a +3 goal margin per game.
- Projected Calgary starter Dustin Wolf has a .797 save percentage and 6.01 GAA in two starts.
- Anaheim is on the second night of a back-to-back; projected starter Ville Husso is the backup and remains unconfirmed.
- Leo Carlsson over 0.5 assists+73%Won
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 6 assists in 4 current-season games, averaging 1.5 against a 0.5 projection.
- Official NHL preview confirms Carlsson on Anaheim's top line for this game.
- Anaheim enters 3-1 while Calgary is 0-4; matchup environment favors Anaheim's primary creator.
- Four-game sample is extremely small and early-season rates can regress sharply.
- Dustin Wolf under 25.5 total saves+80%Won
Taken at −125 on DraftKings
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Anaheim is averaging 22.3 shots through four games and 22.25 across its last four, below the prior-season input.
- Troy Terry is on injured reserve, removing a major Anaheim shot generator and lowering this workload.
- Most likely loss: Anaheim produces 26 or more shots and Wolf's .7966 save rate regresses sharply upward.
Questions
Who won Ducks vs. Flames?
The Ducks won 4–2 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.