ANADucks PredictionAI picks, results and analysis

ANADucks vs. Senators2-3OTT

10 model picks on this game

1. Ottawa Senators over 7.5 total goals

   2.86x35¢

   Taken at 35¢ on Novig

   +186% profit if it wins

   Goal LadderUp 67% last 7 days
   Why it likes it

   • Pinnacle's de-vigged 6.5 over probability is 55.1%, fitting a Poisson game mean near 7.00 goals.
   • Novig's total ladder is monotonic from 4.5 through 9.5, with both sides live at the target rung.

   • Ottawa goalie Jonas Johansson is expected, not confirmed; a different starter could materially change the total.
2. Jonas Johansson under 24.5 total saves

   1.72x58¢

   Taken at 58¢ on Novig

   +72% profit if it wins

   Crease WorkloadUp 25% last 7 days
3. Game over 6.5 total goals

   1.79x56¢

   Taken at 56¢ on Novig

   +79% profit if it wins

   Second String ShootoutUp 29% last 7 days
   Why it likes it

   • Pinnacle's same-line de-vigged over reference is 54.6%; current over price is -128.
   • Both confirmed starters are backups: Jonas Johansson for Ottawa and Laurent Brossoit for Anaheim.

   • The 0.30-goal backup adjustment per goalie is a projection, not a fitted game-specific model.

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