Sabres vs. DucksFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHonda Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| ANA | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 7.5 33¢
Why Goal Ladder likes it: Pinnacle de-vigged Buffalo moneyline/total imply a Poisson game mean of about 6.84 goals.
Goal LadderUp 49% return this season · 51 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-2 on this game · +62% return
- Game total over 7.5+203%Won
Taken at 33¢ on Novig
Goal LadderUp 58% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle de-vigged Buffalo moneyline/total imply a Poisson game mean of about 6.84 goals.
- Anaheim's projected Ville Husso start is still unconfirmed; this is reduced to 0.5u.
- Anaheim Ducks to win−100%Lost
Taken at 43¢ on ProphetX
Regulation GapUp 2% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The 3.04-point Anaheim discrepancy clears the 3-point gate; Buffalo's analogous gap is only 1.98 points.
- BUF/ANA past-regulation rate is 29.2% this season, 24.4% last season, 25.0% pooled before shrinking toward the 22% league anchor.
- Close team-level matchup: Anaheim has scored 3.08 goals per game versus Buffalo's 2.75 through 12 games.
- The 3.04-point coherence gap barely clears the threshold and can disappear with a small quote move.
- Total under 7.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 68¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 21 of 24 current-season BUF/ANA team-game totals in the recent logs stayed at 7 or fewer.
- Expected goalies are Colten Ellis and Lukas Dostal; Ellis just posted a 23-save shutout.
- Both goalies remain expected, not confirmed; Dostal's latest line was 27 saves on 33 shots (.818).
- Buffalo Sabres to win+72%Won
Taken at 58¢ on Novig
NHL Active v2Down 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Buffalo has the better season shot profile: 27.6 shots for/26.2 against versus Anaheim 23.6/27.7.
- Buffalo's latest result was a 40-23 shot, 2-0 win; Anaheim recently allowed 33 shots in a 6-5 OT loss.
- The edge is only 0.08 percentage points before any price movement; variance dominates.
- Beckett Sennecke over 0.5 goals+233%Won
Taken at 30¢ on Kalshi
role repricingDown 18% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Troy Terry is on LTIR with a hip injury; current injury poll lists a 2026-11-21 return.
- Sennecke is expected on Anaheim's first power-play unit at the 4:00pm deployment poll.
- He has scored in 5 of 12 games, including 3 of his last 6; current sample is 6 total goals.
- Both lineups remain expected rather than confirmed, so Sennecke's workload could change before puck drop.
Questions
Who won Sabres vs. Ducks?
The Sabres won 7–6 on Thursday, Oct 29, 2026.