Canucks vs. DucksFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHonda Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| ANA | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Top model pick, graded
WonOver 7.5 total goals 34¢
Why Goal Ladder likes it: Internal coherence: Poisson fit to Pinnacle’s devigged moneyline and 6.5 total gives about 38.6% fair for over 7.5.
Goal LadderUp 49% return this season · 51 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-0 on this game · +121% return
- Over 7.5 total goals+194%Won
Taken at 34¢ on Novig
Goal LadderUp 58% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Internal coherence: Poisson fit to Pinnacle’s devigged moneyline and 6.5 total gives about 38.6% fair for over 7.5.
- Vancouver’s projected starter Leevi Merilainen is unconfirmed; Anaheim’s Lukas Dostal is confirmed.
- Vancouver Canucks +2.5+47%Won
Taken at 68¢ on ProphetX
Fair FenceUp 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Historical regular-season margin data: favorites in the ≥1.2 strength-gap bucket won by 3+ in 27.3% of 2,943 games; dog +2.5 fair near 72.7% (about -266).
- ProphetX -210 implies 67.7%, roughly 5 percentage points below that estimated fair probability.
- Current trailing goal-differential gap is about 1.3 goals/game (-0.5 Anaheim, -1.8 Vancouver), fitting the stated strength bucket.
- Vancouver loses this ticket with a three-goal-or-greater defeat; an empty-net goal can widen the margin late.
Questions
Who won Canucks vs. Ducks?
The Canucks won 6–5 on Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026.