Panthers vs. PenguinsFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalPPG Paints Arena

Panthers

0–4Final

Penguins

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	T
FLA	0	0	0	0
PIT	1	1	2	4

How the picks did

Models went 0-4 on this game · −100% return

Matthew Tkachuk over 0.5 assistsHigh conviction
−100%Lost
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 12 assists in 10 games: 1.2 per game versus a 0.5 line (+140%).
- 10 assists across his last five games; he recorded an assist in 4 of 5.
- Projected on Florida's top line with Brady Tkachuk and Sam Bennett.
- Assist outcomes are high variance; one of his last five games produced zero assists.
Florida Panthers puck line −1.5Long shot
−100%Lost
Taken at 30¢ on ProphetX
Scratch ShiftDown 56% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Samuel Girard is confirmed out; his 18:44 average ice time and 7 points/12 shots in 9 games make him a real top-four absence.
- Arturs Silovs is confirmed as Pittsburgh's starter, removing the opposing-goalie uncertainty.
- Florida is also without Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand; those known absences may already offset Girard's impact.
Brady Tkachuk over 3.5 shots on goal
−100%Lost
Taken at +136 on FanDuel
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 29% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 5 of 9 2026 games cleared 3.5 SOG; 34 total shots (3.78 per game).
- Last-five average is 4.6 SOG, including 7, 6 and 4 in the three overs.
- NHL.com's projected lineup places Tkachuk on Florida's top line; the live prop board also lists him for this game.
- The sample is only nine games and early-season role data can be noisy.
Brady Tkachuk over 3.0 shots on goal
0%Push
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 35 shots in 10 games: 3.5 per game versus the 3.0 line (+16.7%).
- He averaged 4.6 shots over his last five games: 3, 7, 6, 4, 3.
- Projected on Florida's top line and confirmed as a game participant on the live PrizePicks board.
- The over requires more than three shots; he cleared that mark in only 3 of his last 5.
Florida Panthers first-period spread +0.5Favorite
−100%Lost
Taken at 67¢ on Polymarket US
Square FrameUp 3% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- The +0.5 pair implies a 35% tie mass: Panthers +0.5 at 67¢ plus Penguins +0.5 at 68¢, less 1.
- The outright -0.5 prices total 73% (37¢ Panthers, 36¢ Penguins); with that 35% tie estimate, the pair sums to 108%, an 8-point break.
- The cheaper +0.5 side is Florida at 67¢ versus Pittsburgh at 68¢.
- The pair inconsistency may largely reflect exchange spreads and fees rather than a true pricing error.

Questions

Who won Panthers vs. Penguins?

The Penguins won 4–0 on Thursday, Oct 22, 2026.