FinalStadio Pierluigi Penzo · Venezia
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAZI | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| VENE | 0 | 0 | 0 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-3 on this game · −100% return
- Over 2.5 Total Goals−100%Lost
Taken at 57¢ on ProphetX
Two Nil PairsUp 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- dc_rho is -0.05; opponent-adjusted xG is Venezia 1.22 for / 1.93 against and Lazio 1.24 for / 1.45 against.
- No confirmed XI was posted at 9:21 PDT; late rotation or lineup news could move the goal expectation before kickoff.
- Match total over 2.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 34¢ on Kalshi
Low Tide LineUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 45.3% projection: Poisson conversion of combined rolling xG 2.49 (Venezia 1.27, Lazio 1.22).
- Both teams have 10 competitive matches in the feature window; friendly-match inflation is zero.
- The total projection is a Poisson conversion, not a warehouse-provided total-goals probability.
- Match total goals over 2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on Kalshi
Two NilUp 11% last 7 days
Questions
Who won Lazio vs. Venezia?
Lazio won 2-0 on Saturday, Sep 19, 2026.