FinalRaymond James Stadium
17–59Final
Score by period
Team1234T
DEL7100017
USF1414141759

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game over 61.5 total 49¢

CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks

How the picks did

Models went 3-1 on this game · +49% return

  1. Game over 61.5 total
    +104%Won

    Taken at 49¢ on Polymarket US

    CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
  2. Delaware State +37.5 (no push; wins on an exact 37-point loss)
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • +37.5 wins on an exact 37-point South Florida victory; adjacent +37 pushes there.
    • ProphetX priced +37.5 at 50.74¢ versus +37 at 50.98¢; the better-settling contract is 0.24¢ cheaper.
    • If the final margin is not exactly 37, +37.5 and +37 have the same win/loss outcome.
  3. South Florida spread −37.5
    +96%Won

    Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

    Saturday Board PairsDown 2% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • USF produced 2.8 points per drive last week; the efficiency mismatch supports a margin beyond the posted number.
    • Most likely loss: USF leads comfortably but wins by 30, 37 after second-half substitutions.
  4. Total Points over 60.5
    +96%Won

    Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

    Tempo BoardDown 18% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • South Florida's latest defense allowed +0.26 EPA per play, creating a path to 61+ through explosive gains and short fields.
    • LEAN cap: Delaware State is an FCS opponent and has no 2026 advanced row; the projection leans on one prior-season game plus two USF games.

Questions

Who won Delaware State vs. South Florida?

South Florida won 59-17 on Saturday, Sep 19, 2026.