FinalMemorial Stadium (Lincoln
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| NEB | 14 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
Top model pick, graded
WonNebraska Cornhuskers 1H spread NO 17.5 58¢
Why Early Cover likes it: 4,547 FBS games (2021, 25) give full-game margin SD 14.57; masses peak at 3, 7, 14, 17, and 21.
Early CoverDown 3% this season · 435 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −27% return
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks spread +26.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Nebraska Cornhuskers 1H spread NO 17.5+72%Won
Taken at 58¢ on Kalshi
Early CoverUp 1% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 4,547 FBS games (2021, 25) give full-game margin SD 14.57; masses peak at 3, 7, 14, 17, and 21.
- Sharp full-game spread -27.5 and CFB predictor +28.39 blend to a 27.94-point mean; half mean is 13.97.
- Adjacent-rung pricing and the model are directionally coherent; 17.5 sits just above the observed 17-point college mass.
- North Dakota is FCS and has no current team-adv rows; the matchup projection relies on the sharp anchor and predictor cross-check.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers spread −29.5−100%Lost
Taken at 45¢ on ProphetX
Saturday Board PairsDown 2% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Nebraska's 2-game 2026 sample: +0.44 EPA/play, 53.7% success, 19.2% explosive rate; North Dakota's one-game sample: +0.07, 39.7%, 15.4%.
- Nebraska's defense is -0.07 EPA/play allowed across two games; North Dakota's defense is +0.23 allowed in its lone current sample.
- Anthony Colandrea and Jerry Kaminski are the latest pass-attempt leaders; Colandrea led Nebraska in both 2026 games, and live search lists both as starters.
- The most likely loss is a Nebraska lead followed by conservative play and late North Dakota scoring against backups, leaving the margin below 30.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks over 27.5 spread+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- +27.5 wins on an exact 27-point Nebraska margin; +27 only pushes there.
- ProphetX prices +27.5 at 52.38¢ versus +27 at 51.22¢: only a 1.16-point premium.
- Historical 2014, 25 pooled margin frequency may not match this specific matchup.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers spread −27.5−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
ProphetX PairsDown 10% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Nebraska's two-game 2026 profile is directionally supportive: +0.44 offensive EPA/play, 53.7% success, and 19.2% explosive rate.
- Likeliest loss path: Nebraska leads comfortably, rotates starters, and North Dakota scores enough late to stay within 27.5.
Questions
Who won North Dakota vs. Nebraska?
Nebraska won 34-7 on Saturday, Sep 19, 2026.