FinalKinnick Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| IOWA | 21 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 55 |
Top model pick, graded
WonIowa Hawkeyes 1H spread over 13.5 93¢
Why Early Cover likes it: Pinnacle full-game Iowa -37.5 implies a 18.75-point naive half mean; live Iowa leads 14-0 at 2:25 of Q1.
Early CoverDown 3% this season · 435 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −26% return
- Iowa Hawkeyes 1H spread over 13.5+8%Won
Taken at 93¢ on Kalshi
Early CoverUp 1% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle full-game Iowa -37.5 implies a 18.75-point naive half mean; live Iowa leads 14-0 at 2:25 of Q1.
- 3,660 FBS games from 2022-25 produced full-game margin SD 14.61; sqrt scaling gives first-half SD 10.33, not 7.31.
- The contract loses if Northern Iowa outscores Iowa by at least one point over the remainder of the half; early-game tails remain wide.
- Reece Vander Zee under 33.5 receiving yards+88%Won
Taken at −114 on FanDuel
Picks with pink pro readerUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Last 10 appearances: under 33.5 in 8 of 10 (80%).
- Current-season production is 32 yards in each of two games, both below this line.
- BetOnline also posts a lower 29.5 line, making FanDuel's 33.5 a materially better under price point.
- A single deep reception can break a low receiving-yard threshold; usage can change quickly.
- Northern Iowa Panthers over 37.5−100%Lost
Taken at −102 on FanDuel
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Iowa's 2026 offense is -0.02 EPA/play weighted, while its defense allows -0.29 EPA/play.
- Iowa averages 28.86 seconds per offensive play; the low-tempo profile limits possessions and blowout margin opportunities.
- Iowa predictor projects a 31.41-point margin, below the 37.5-point spread.
- versus-FBS margin variance is wide, and Iowa can cover through defensive or special-teams scores.
- Game total under 49.5−100%Lost
Taken at 54¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Iowa's 2026 offense is -0.01 EPA/play through two games, while its defense allows -0.26 EPA/play.
- Iowa's first two 2026 games totaled 40 and 29 points; it has allowed only 13 points total.
- Most likely loss: Iowa turns the matchup into a short-field blowout and scores 42-plus by itself.
Questions
Who won Northern Iowa vs. Iowa?
Iowa won 55-0 on Saturday, Sep 19, 2026.