Southern Illinois vs. Murray State: Final Score & Model Picks

FinalRoy Stewart Stadium

Southern Illinois2-2

46–6Final

Murray State1-3

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
SOUT	6	23	7	10	46
MURR	6	0	0	0	6

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total under 53.5 −108

Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: Projected total 48, 49 is roughly 8, 10% below the posted 53.5.

Models went 1-3 on this game · −52% return

Game total over 53.5
−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
Murray State +17 spread
−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- +17 pushes, refund, if Southern Illinois wins by exactly 17; the adjacent +17.5 cannot push.
- It includes all margins, not home-spread or price-band-specific samples.
Game total under 53.5
+93%Won
Taken at −108 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Projected total 48, 49 is roughly 8, 10% below the posted 53.5.
- Murray has scored 14 or fewer in 3 of 4 games, including a shutout last week.
- PWP Composite Grade: 70/100; qualifying edge, but only a low-conviction Grade B.
- The two most recent totals were 58 and 59, both above this number.
Murray State Racers spread +7.5Long shot
−100%Lost
Taken at 29¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days

Southern Illinois won 46-6 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.