FinalHouck Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 |
| SOUT | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
Top model pick, graded
WonWest Florida Argonauts to win 37¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: West Florida averages 30.7 points scored and 27.7 allowed across three 2026 games; SEMO averages 20.0 and 25.5 across four.
How the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −10% return
- Southeast Missouri State −1.5−100%Lost
Taken at 59¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Southeast Missouri State −6 spread (pushes at exactly a 6-point home win; 1.726% historical signed-margin mass)−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- -6 pushes at exactly a six-point Southeast Missouri State win, while adjacent -5.5 wins.
- ProphetX quotes -6 at 48.54¢ versus -5.5 at 50.00¢: only a 1.46-point price concession for the push outcome.
- Both comparison prices are ProphetX venue self-reference, not an independent sharp fair line.
- West Florida Argonauts to win+170%Won
Taken at 37¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- West Florida averages 30.7 points scored and 27.7 allowed across three 2026 games; SEMO averages 20.0 and 25.5 across four.
- West Florida beat shared opponent Central Arkansas 42-14; SEMO beat Central Arkansas 27-9, a 10-point margin gap.
- Only three West Florida and four SEMO games inform the projection; opponent adjustment is thin.
Questions
Who won West Florida vs. Southeast Missouri State?
West Florida won 20-17 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.