Blues vs. StarsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalAmerican Airlines Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Top model pick, graded
WonJoel Hofer under 26.5 total saves −115
Why Crease Workload likes it: Dallas supplies the low opponent shot-rate input; Hofer's .9096 save rate keeps the expected count below the posted threshold.
Crease WorkloadUp 16% return this season · 87 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · −7% return
- Joel Hofer under 26.5 total saves+87%Won
Taken at −115 on DraftKings
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Dallas supplies the low opponent shot-rate input; Hofer's .9096 save rate keeps the expected count below the posted threshold.
- Both team rates use 2025-26 because the current-season samples are below 15 games.
- Jason Robertson over 3.5 shots on goal−100%Lost
Taken at +102 on FanDuel
NHL Player Prop EdgeUp 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 3.59 SOG/game across 82 games last season and 3.6 over his last 10.
- 9.78 individual shots on goal per 60 over the last 10 with 20.94 recent TOI.
- 4.19 recent PP minutes per game supports repeatable shot opportunity.
- The projection is only modestly above 3.5; price edge is thin and variance dominates.
Questions
Who won Blues vs. Stars?
The Blues won 4–0 on Friday, Oct 2, 2026.