Golden Knights vs. PredatorsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBridgestone Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| NSH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-4 on this game · −100% return
- First-period total under 2.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 72¢ on Polymarket US
First Frame SumDown 31% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Current team-rate blend projects 5.87 full-game goals: VGK 3.57 GF/2.57 GA, NSH 2.80 GF/2.80 GA.
- Nesting that rate through the 1.76 first-period baseline gives a first-period mean near 1.68 goals.
- The team-rate sample is only seven Vegas games and five Nashville games.
- Filip Forsberg under 2.5 shots on goal−100%Lost
Taken at +110 on DraftKings
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 30% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 1.8 SOG average across Nashville's five completed games this season.
- Forsberg stayed under 2.5 SOG in 4 of 5 games; season total is 9 shots in 5 games.
- Nashville averages only 21.8 team shots per game, while Vegas allows 24.6.
- A power-play-heavy game or early deficit could push him to 3+ attempts on goal.
- Under 6.5 total goals−100%Lost
Taken at 54¢ on Polymarket US
Morning PuckDown 26% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Shrunk Poisson model projects approximately 6.0 goals; current team rates are VGK 3.57 GF/2.57 GA and NSH 2.80 GF/2.80 GA.
- Projected starters are Adin Hill and Juuse Saros; both are rested for this matchup, supporting the model's lower scoring estimate.
- The sharp reference is 6.0 goals, within 0.1 of the model; the 6.5 rung is a favorable derived number.
- Neither starter is officially confirmed; an unexpected goalie change could materially alter the projection.
- Tomas Hertl over 2 shots on goal0%Push
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 14 shots over his last four appearances: 3.5 per game versus a 2-shot projection.
- Nashville is allowing 30.0 shots per game in the current matchup snapshot.
- Vegas has won four of its last five; Hertl is active in the projected lineup and priced for this game.
- Juuse Saros is projected for Nashville; goalie quality can suppress finishing sequences and rebounds.
- Nashville Predators moneyline including overtime/shootout−100%Lost
Taken at 46¢ on ProphetX
Regulation GapUp 2% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Nashville is home and rested since October 10, while Vegas comes off an October 12 loss; the side is not contradicted by the situational read.
- Vegas has the stronger early form at 4-1 versus Nashville at 2-3, so this is a reconciliation position rather than a team-strength projection.
Questions
Who won Golden Knights vs. Predators?
The Golden Knights won 5-2 on Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026.