Predators vs. PenguinsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalPPG Paints Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Top model pick, graded
WonPittsburgh Penguins to win 53¢
Why Cohort Check likes it: Independent estimate is 56, 57%, at least 3 points above the 52.4% sharp-book devig.
Cohort CheckDown 9% this season · 56 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −11% return
- Pittsburgh Penguins to win+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Polymarket US
Cohort CheckDown 26% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Independent estimate is 56, 57%, at least 3 points above the 52.4% sharp-book devig.
- Pittsburgh scores 3.364 goals/game versus Nashville's 2.556 through the current sample.
- Juuse Saros is confirmed, but Pittsburgh's Arturs Silovs is only expected; season save rates are .906 versus .885.
- Silovs' expected status leaves late-goalie uncertainty; a change could erase the edge.
- Nashville Predators to win−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket US
Scratch TapeDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Rust averages 17:22 and Girard 18:44; the trio removes 53:08 of recent Pittsburgh usage, conservatively ≈0.4 goals.
- Polymarket US's Pittsburgh midpoint moved 55.5% to 52.5%; only two points followed Malkin's 9:01 AM confirmation.
- Pinnacle's current devig still makes Pittsburgh 52.4%; my 53% rebuild is only modestly above that anchor.
- Roman Josi under 2.5 shots on goal+69%Won
Taken at −145 on DraftKings
THE 3 N -SPORTS SYSTEMDown 29% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Josi stayed under 2.5 shots in 8 of 9 2026 games; his season average is 1.67.
- He is 5-for-5 under in his last five, averaging 1.8 shots in that window.
- Josi has averaged roughly 27.3 minutes in nine games, so the under is not dependent on reduced ice time.
- His heavy power-play and even-strength workload means one extra attempt loses the ticket.
- Filip Forsberg over 2.5 shots on goal−100%Lost
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 19 shots over his last 5 games: 3.8 per game, 52% above the 2.5 line.
- Current 2026-27 average is 2.67 SOG across 9 games, with recent form accelerating.
- Forsberg is confirmed in Nashville's lineup for this game.
- The nine-game season average is only 6.8% above the line; the edge relies heavily on a five-game sample.
Questions
Who won Predators vs. Penguins?
The Penguins won 3–2 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.